Towson
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#165
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#164
Pace62.8#320
Improvement+0.4#166

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#111
First Shot+0.8#151
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#74
Layup/Dunks-4.3#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
Freethrows+2.4#25
Improvement+3.0#42

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#230
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#238
Layups/Dunks+1.1#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#271
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement-2.7#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 33 - 85 - 12
Quad 412 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 230   George Washington W 72-58 76%     1 - 0 +7.1 +0.0 +7.9
  Nov 11, 2019 124   Kent St. L 80-84 OT 52%     1 - 1 -4.2 -3.2 -0.6
  Nov 14, 2019 32   @ Florida L 60-66 9%     1 - 2 +9.3 -0.2 +8.9
  Nov 21, 2019 41   Xavier L 51-73 18%     1 - 3 -11.7 -11.2 -1.9
  Nov 22, 2019 141   Buffalo L 73-76 45%     1 - 4 -1.3 -5.4 +4.3
  Nov 24, 2019 257   Saint Joseph's W 76-64 72%     2 - 4 +6.4 -5.8 +11.6
  Dec 04, 2019 322   @ Morgan St. W 76-59 77%     3 - 4 +9.8 +8.7 +2.7
  Dec 07, 2019 84   @ Vermont L 38-55 20%     3 - 5 -7.7 -24.1 +13.9
  Dec 10, 2019 251   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-71 80%     4 - 5 -2.3 +10.1 -11.6
  Dec 20, 2019 95   Liberty L 54-66 32%     4 - 6 -6.7 -9.4 +1.3
  Dec 21, 2019 179   Tulane W 86-82 OT 54%     5 - 6 +3.4 +9.1 -5.8
  Dec 28, 2019 147   Northeastern L 45-61 58%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -17.6 -28.1 +9.9
  Dec 30, 2019 112   Hofstra L 67-75 48%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -7.0 -7.5 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2020 163   @ College of Charleston L 69-81 38%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -8.6 +1.3 -10.8
  Jan 04, 2020 303   @ UNC Wilmington W 67-60 70%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +2.0 -3.2 +5.4
  Jan 09, 2020 243   Drexel W 89-73 78%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +8.3 +14.1 -5.3
  Jan 11, 2020 184   Delaware W 84-68 66%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +12.1 +12.4 +0.8
  Jan 18, 2020 305   James Madison W 69-61 86%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -3.1 -11.3 +8.2
  Jan 23, 2020 270   @ Elon W 72-61 63%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +7.9 +4.6 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2020 194   @ William & Mary W 70-58 46%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +13.3 +4.5 +10.2
  Jan 30, 2020 303   UNC Wilmington W 77-66 86%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +0.0 +4.8 -4.4
  Feb 01, 2020 163   College of Charleston L 70-79 62%     12 - 10 7 - 4 -11.6 +1.9 -14.5
  Feb 06, 2020 184   @ Delaware L 78-84 43%     12 - 11 7 - 5 -3.8 +9.5 -13.8
  Feb 08, 2020 243   @ Drexel W 76-69 58%     13 - 11 8 - 5 +5.4 +7.7 -1.8
  Feb 15, 2020 305   @ James Madison W 63-48 70%     14 - 11 9 - 5 +10.0 -6.1 +17.9
  Feb 20, 2020 194   William & Mary L 51-61 69%     14 - 12 9 - 6 -14.7 -19.1 +3.1
  Feb 22, 2020 270   Elon W 84-71 82%     15 - 12 10 - 6 +3.8 +15.2 -9.7
  Feb 27, 2020 112   @ Hofstra W 76-65 26%     16 - 12 11 - 6 +18.0 +15.8 +3.8
  Mar 01, 2020 147   @ Northeastern W 75-72 35%     17 - 12 12 - 6 +7.4 +10.6 -2.9
  Mar 08, 2020 147   Northeastern L 62-72 46%     17 - 13 -8.6 -1.8 -8.3
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%