Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#112
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#110
Pace68.3#199
Improvement+6.2#11

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#67
First Shot+3.5#70
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#114
Layup/Dunks-3.7#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#51
Freethrows+1.7#60
Improvement+2.7#58

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#183
First Shot+0.9#134
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#263
Layups/Dunks-1.4#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#122
Freethrows+4.2#5
Improvement+3.5#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round14.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 21 - 12 - 1
Quad 39 - 411 - 5
Quad 414 - 325 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 299   San Jose St. L 71-79 91%     0 - 1 -18.8 -7.7 -11.0
  Nov 09, 2019 204   Monmouth W 94-74 81%     1 - 1 +14.8 +13.8 -0.3
  Nov 13, 2019 242   @ Bucknell L 71-86 70%     1 - 2 -16.6 -3.2 -12.7
  Nov 21, 2019 71   @ UCLA W 88-78 27%     2 - 2 +20.3 +18.8 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2019 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 79-57 75%     3 - 2 +18.9 +3.3 +14.8
  Nov 27, 2019 228   @ San Diego L 69-79 68%     3 - 3 -10.8 -2.4 -8.2
  Dec 01, 2019 343   Holy Cross W 91-69 95%     4 - 3 +7.3 -0.6 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2019 260   Canisius W 64-57 82%     5 - 3 +1.2 -10.3 +11.6
  Dec 07, 2019 126   @ St. Bonaventure L 45-73 43%     5 - 4 -22.2 -23.2 -0.8
  Dec 10, 2019 196   Stony Brook W 71-63 80%     6 - 4 +3.1 -7.0 +9.5
  Dec 19, 2019 149   @ Princeton W 87-72 49%     7 - 4 +19.3 +11.6 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2019 268   Manhattan W 63-51 89%     8 - 4 +2.9 -6.6 +10.3
  Dec 28, 2019 305   @ James Madison W 82-76 80%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +1.0 +2.4 -1.7
  Dec 30, 2019 165   @ Towson W 75-67 52%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +11.4 +1.8 +9.6
  Jan 02, 2020 194   William & Mary L 61-88 80%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -31.7 -16.2 -15.2
  Jan 04, 2020 270   Elon W 102-75 89%     11 - 5 3 - 1 +17.8 +20.6 -3.2
  Jan 09, 2020 147   @ Northeastern W 74-72 48%     12 - 5 4 - 1 +6.4 +5.7 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2020 303   @ UNC Wilmington W 63-61 80%     13 - 5 5 - 1 -3.0 -1.6 -1.2
  Jan 18, 2020 163   @ College of Charleston L 67-69 52%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +1.4 +2.5 -1.3
  Jan 23, 2020 184   Delaware L 71-73 77%     13 - 7 5 - 3 -5.9 -10.5 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2020 243   Drexel W 72-59 86%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +5.3 +2.1 +4.6
  Jan 30, 2020 270   @ Elon W 86-63 75%     15 - 7 7 - 3 +19.9 +15.7 +5.9
  Feb 01, 2020 194   @ William & Mary W 83-60 60%     16 - 7 8 - 3 +24.3 +15.2 +10.7
  Feb 08, 2020 147   Northeastern W 75-71 71%     17 - 7 9 - 3 +2.4 -3.2 +5.4
  Feb 13, 2020 163   College of Charleston W 76-63 74%     18 - 7 10 - 3 +10.4 +1.5 +9.1
  Feb 15, 2020 303   UNC Wilmington W 78-64 91%     19 - 7 11 - 3 +3.0 +10.3 -6.0
  Feb 20, 2020 243   @ Drexel W 81-74 71%     20 - 7 12 - 3 +5.4 +8.2 -2.7
  Feb 22, 2020 184   @ Delaware W 78-62 57%     21 - 7 13 - 3 +18.2 +7.7 +11.3
  Feb 27, 2020 165   Towson L 65-76 74%     21 - 8 13 - 4 -13.6 -1.5 -13.7
  Feb 29, 2020 305   James Madison W 97-81 91%     22 - 8 14 - 4 +4.9 +23.2 -17.3
  Mar 08, 2020 243   Drexel W 61-43 79%     23 - 8 +13.3 -5.2 +21.4
  Mar 09, 2020 184   Delaware W 75-61 68%     24 - 8 +13.2 +4.7 +9.5
  Mar 10, 2020 147   Northeastern W 70-61 60%     25 - 8 +10.4 +7.8 +4.0
Projected Record 25 - 8 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.4 6.2 48.7 42.1 3.1
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.4 6.2 48.7 42.1 3.1