Mercer
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#189
Pace68.6#190
Improvement+7.0#6

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#211
First Shot-1.9#240
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#115
Layup/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#132
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement+0.8#140

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#175
First Shot-0.7#199
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#111
Layups/Dunks-2.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#98
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement+6.2#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 51 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 63   @ St. John's L 79-109 13%     0 - 1 -18.7 +0.8 -14.8
  Nov 11, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 74-62 96%     1 - 1 -10.1 -15.7 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2019 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 84-68 82%     2 - 1 +5.2 +0.0 +3.4
  Nov 19, 2019 132   @ Georgia Southern L 88-98 26%     2 - 2 -4.6 +8.1 -11.5
  Nov 23, 2019 193   @ Illinois-Chicago W 72-68 40%     3 - 2 +5.4 +3.7 +1.7
  Nov 26, 2019 126   @ St. Bonaventure L 51-56 25%     3 - 3 +0.8 -13.1 +13.3
  Dec 01, 2019 260   Canisius L 66-76 67%     3 - 4 -15.8 -6.7 -9.5
  Dec 02, 2019 343   Holy Cross L 67-81 89%     3 - 5 -28.7 -13.0 -16.2
  Dec 07, 2019 131   Georgia St. L 61-73 48%     3 - 6 -12.6 -14.8 +2.5
  Dec 16, 2019 303   @ UNC Wilmington W 72-63 64%     4 - 6 +4.0 +0.7 +3.4
  Dec 20, 2019 83   Furman L 62-64 33%     4 - 7 0 - 1 +1.3 -3.4 +4.5
  Dec 22, 2019 183   Florida Atlantic L 50-65 60%     4 - 8 -18.8 -19.8 -0.1
  Jan 01, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 63-72 19%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -0.7 -5.8 +5.4
  Jan 04, 2020 143   Chattanooga L 61-70 51%     4 - 10 0 - 3 -10.5 -9.7 -1.7
  Jan 11, 2020 155   @ Western Carolina L 71-79 31%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -4.1 -5.8 +2.1
  Jan 15, 2020 252   VMI W 73-62 75%     5 - 11 1 - 4 +2.7 -0.6 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2020 321   @ Samford W 90-75 71%     6 - 11 2 - 4 +8.1 +7.7 -0.3
  Jan 22, 2020 155   Western Carolina W 85-79 54%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +3.9 +8.0 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2020 252   @ VMI W 69-66 54%     8 - 11 4 - 4 +0.7 -1.0 +1.9
  Jan 29, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-55 13%     9 - 11 5 - 4 +27.1 +6.9 +20.9
  Feb 01, 2020 335   The Citadel W 76-71 90%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -10.1 -3.3 -6.8
  Feb 05, 2020 83   @ Furman L 57-79 16%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -12.6 -7.2 -6.9
  Feb 08, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. L 60-73 27%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -7.9 -10.7 +3.0
  Feb 12, 2020 148   @ Wofford W 70-68 30%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +6.3 +0.7 +5.7
  Feb 15, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro L 55-67 37%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -9.7 -17.0 +7.7
  Feb 19, 2020 321   Samford W 106-66 86%     12 - 14 8 - 7 +27.0 +15.4 +8.2
  Feb 22, 2020 143   @ Chattanooga W 85-80 29%     13 - 14 9 - 7 +9.5 +16.2 -6.5
  Feb 26, 2020 335   @ The Citadel W 73-57 77%     14 - 14 10 - 7 +6.9 -7.0 +13.5
  Feb 29, 2020 148   Wofford W 59-47 52%     15 - 14 11 - 7 +10.3 -5.6 +17.9
  Mar 07, 2020 155   Western Carolina L 56-70 42%     15 - 15 -13.1 -15.3 +1.2
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%