Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#40
Expected Predictive Rating+14.2#20
Pace53.4#353
Improvement-0.7#208

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#219
First Shot-1.4#220
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#238
Freethrows-1.1#259
Improvement+1.5#107

Defense
Total Defense+12.0#1
First Shot+9.3#3
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#5
Layups/Dunks+4.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#210
Freethrows+4.3#4
Improvement-2.2#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 33.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.7% n/a n/a
Second Round51.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 33 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 05 - 3
Quad 27 - 312 - 6
Quad 36 - 118 - 7
Quad 45 - 023 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 46   @ Syracuse W 48-34 40%     1 - 0 +27.0 -11.5 +41.2
  Nov 10, 2019 305   James Madison W 65-34 97%     2 - 0 +19.9 -13.8 +34.3
  Nov 16, 2019 294   Columbia W 60-42 96%     3 - 0 +7.3 -8.2 +18.2
  Nov 19, 2019 84   Vermont W 61-55 75%     4 - 0 +9.3 +1.1 +9.3
  Nov 23, 2019 161   Massachusetts W 58-46 83%     5 - 0 +12.4 -7.1 +21.1
  Nov 24, 2019 60   Arizona St. W 48-45 58%     6 - 0 +11.3 -8.5 +20.6
  Nov 27, 2019 320   Maine W 46-26 97%     7 - 0 +7.6 -19.0 +31.8
  Dec 04, 2019 24   @ Purdue L 40-69 29%     7 - 1 -12.9 -14.9 -4.2
  Dec 08, 2019 68   North Carolina W 56-47 71%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +13.7 -7.6 +22.5
  Dec 18, 2019 196   Stony Brook W 56-44 92%     9 - 1 +7.1 -3.7 +13.6
  Dec 22, 2019 64   South Carolina L 59-70 70%     9 - 2 -5.9 -3.2 -3.9
  Dec 29, 2019 253   Navy W 65-56 95%     10 - 2 +0.6 +5.0 -2.1
  Jan 04, 2020 100   Virginia Tech W 65-39 79%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +28.0 +2.1 +29.0
  Jan 07, 2020 159   @ Boston College L 53-60 74%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -3.4 -10.0 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2020 46   Syracuse L 55-63 OT 63%     11 - 4 2 - 2 -1.1 -17.1 +16.0
  Jan 15, 2020 12   @ Florida St. L 50-54 25%     11 - 5 2 - 3 +13.6 -7.2 +20.3
  Jan 18, 2020 58   @ Georgia Tech W 63-58 46%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +16.6 +6.2 +11.0
  Jan 20, 2020 45   North Carolina St. L 51-53 63%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +5.0 -7.1 +11.6
  Jan 26, 2020 94   @ Wake Forest W 65-63 OT 58%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +10.3 -3.7 +14.1
  Jan 28, 2020 12   Florida St. W 61-56 46%     14 - 6 5 - 4 +16.5 +2.4 +14.8
  Feb 05, 2020 67   Clemson W 51-44 71%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +11.7 -4.9 +18.3
  Feb 08, 2020 11   @ Louisville L 73-80 24%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +10.9 +21.7 -12.2
  Feb 11, 2020 51   Notre Dame W 50-49 OT 66%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +7.3 -17.1 +24.4
  Feb 15, 2020 68   @ North Carolina W 64-62 49%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +12.7 +2.7 +10.3
  Feb 19, 2020 159   Boston College W 78-65 88%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +10.6 +19.3 -6.5
  Feb 22, 2020 104   @ Pittsburgh W 59-56 61%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +10.7 -3.9 +14.8
  Feb 26, 2020 100   @ Virginia Tech W 56-53 59%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +11.1 +0.5 +11.2
  Feb 29, 2020 3   Duke W 52-50 34%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +16.7 -8.1 +25.0
  Mar 04, 2020 92   @ Miami (FL) W 46-44 58%     22 - 7 13 - 5 +10.5 -13.8 +24.7
  Mar 07, 2020 11   Louisville W 57-54 45%     23 - 7 14 - 5 +14.8 -2.9 +18.1
Projected Record 23 - 7 14 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 99.7% 99.7% 6.8 0.0 0.3 6.2 27.3 47.5 16.1 2.3 0.0 0.3 99.7%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 6.8 0.0 0.3 6.2 27.3 47.5 16.1 2.3 0.0 0.3 99.7%