Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
280 Norfolk St. 22.2%   16   6 - 10 5 - 0 13 - 14 12 - 4 -6.6      -5.7 317 -0.9 192 64.8 294 -7.1 280 +2.9 1
291 N.C. A&T 18.0%   8 - 12 5 - 1 14 - 16 11 - 5 -7.3      -5.6 316 -1.7 220 75.3 47 -5.6 259 -2.6 2
298 NC Central 15.4%   5 - 12 4 - 2 11 - 16 10 - 6 -7.7      -6.1 323 -1.6 217 65.4 280 -9.8 311 -8.1 5
300 Bethune-Cookman 12.3%   6 - 11 3 - 3 12 - 15 9 - 7 -8.1      -3.0 263 -5.1 314 80.6 17 -8.8 304 -10.1 7
312 Florida A&M 10.6%   6 - 12 4 - 3 11 - 16 9 - 7 -8.9      -6.7 331 -2.2 231 70.8 133 -6.1 266 -8.0 4
322 Morgan St. 8.6%   7 - 12 4 - 3 13 - 15 10 - 6 -9.7      -5.0 305 -4.7 310 71.5 115 -8.4 297 -9.2 6
323 South Carolina St. 8.4%   7 - 9 4 - 2 12 - 14 9 - 7 -9.8      -2.1 237 -7.7 341 67.6 234 -6.2 269 -6.4 3
334 Coppin St. 4.0%   5 - 16 1 - 5 11 - 20 7 - 9 -11.3      -8.9 345 -2.4 238 83.3 4 -10.0 314 -18.3 9
348 Howard 0.2%   1 - 18 0 - 6 4 - 25 3 - 13 -17.4      -5.8 318 -11.6 351 74.1 63 -22.1 353 -27.5 11
349 Delaware St. 0.2%   1 - 15 1 - 3 4 - 24 4 - 12 -18.1      -14.6 352 -3.5 274 82.8 8 -20.1 348 -15.7 8
351 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0%   1 - 18 1 - 4 4 - 26 4 - 12 -19.7      -18.5 353 -1.2 203 68.8 199 -21.1 349 -19.2 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Norfolk St. 1.9 56.6 21.1 9.9 5.9 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
N.C. A&T 2.3 37.7 28.3 15.1 9.1 5.1 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.0
NC Central 3.5 15.7 19.6 19.3 15.3 12.1 9.2 5.9 2.7 0.2 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 4.7 5.6 10.8 14.9 16.0 15.1 15.2 14.4 7.0 1.0 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 4.4 6.6 11.6 15.9 17.5 16.8 15.4 11.4 4.3 0.5 0.0
Morgan St. 4.2 7.0 12.9 18.2 19.2 17.9 13.3 7.6 3.4 0.5 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 4.8 5.6 11.1 13.5 14.3 14.8 15.5 15.3 8.7 1.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 7.2 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.1 7.3 12.7 22.2 35.9 11.3 3.1 0.8
Howard 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.1 19.7 35.2 39.9
Delaware St. 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 4.9 13.6 40.1 24.8 13.4
Maryland Eastern Shore 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.5 8.5 32.7 33.7 21.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 12 - 4 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.0 11.1 18.3 22.7 20.5 13.2 5.9 1.2
N.C. A&T 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 8.1 16.9 23.5 23.5 16.8 6.6 1.3
NC Central 10 - 6 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.5 10.4 18.1 23.4 21.3 13.8 5.7 1.2
Bethune-Cookman 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 1.5 5.1 10.8 18.2 22.9 20.9 13.5 5.7 1.3
Florida A&M 9 - 7 0.0 0.6 3.1 8.6 17.6 24.1 23.2 15.1 6.3 1.3
Morgan St. 10 - 6 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.6 15.0 24.2 25.4 17.7 7.3 1.4
South Carolina St. 9 - 7 0.2 1.4 5.1 12.4 19.7 22.4 19.1 12.0 5.8 1.7 0.2
Coppin St. 7 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.2 13.0 20.7 24.9 19.8 10.6 3.3 0.5
Howard 3 - 13 3.3 14.0 25.8 27.4 17.8 8.1 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
Delaware St. 4 - 12 3.2 11.5 20.8 22.9 19.3 12.5 6.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 12 6.2 18.4 25.2 23.5 15.5 7.3 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 56.6% 38.2 13.5 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
N.C. A&T 37.7% 21.3 11.7 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
NC Central 15.7% 6.6 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 5.6% 1.6 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida A&M 6.6% 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 7.0% 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 5.6% 2.0 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Howard
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 22.2% 22.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.4 21.7 77.8 0.0%
N.C. A&T 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 17.6 82.0 0.0%
NC Central 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 15.3 84.6 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 12.2 87.7 0.0%
Florida A&M 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 10.4 89.4 0.0%
Morgan St. 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 8.6 91.4 0.0%
South Carolina St. 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 8.3 91.6 0.0%
Coppin St. 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 4.0 96.0 0.0%
Howard 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Norfolk St. 22.2% 20.2% 11.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 18.0% 16.2% 9.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 15.4% 14.7% 7.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 12.3% 11.8% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 10.6% 9.7% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 8.6% 8.5% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 8.4% 7.8% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 4.0% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 46.0% 0.5 54.0 46.0
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0