Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
310 Norfolk St. 17.5%   16   0 - 1 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 6 -9.4      -6.0 322 -3.4 280 71.8 126 +0.5 170 0.0 1
318 N.C. A&T 12.8%   1 - 3 0 - 0 12 - 17 9 - 7 -10.4      -7.5 337 -2.9 262 70.6 158 -4.9 247 0.0 1
323 Morgan St. 12.7%   0 - 2 0 - 0 10 - 16 9 - 7 -10.7      -5.5 318 -5.2 316 77.6 40 -15.7 339 0.0 1
324 NC Central 11.9%   1 - 2 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 7 -10.7      -9.5 349 -1.3 199 78.3 31 -10.0 295 0.0 1
327 South Carolina St. 11.9%   0 - 2 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 7 -10.9      -3.0 271 -7.9 346 67.6 243 -1.7 209 0.0 1
336 Coppin St. 9.3%   1 - 3 0 - 0 11 - 20 8 - 8 -11.7      -8.0 341 -3.7 290 91.7 2 -3.4 224 0.0 1
338 Bethune-Cookman 9.2%   0 - 2 0 - 0 10 - 17 8 - 8 -12.0      -6.9 332 -5.1 314 77.5 41 -8.5 279 0.0 1
342 Florida A&M 5.7%   0 - 4 0 - 0 8 - 19 7 - 9 -13.3      -9.4 348 -3.9 293 70.3 166 -13.5 324 0.0 1
345 Howard 5.1%   0 - 3 0 - 0 8 - 21 7 - 9 -13.8      -4.3 294 -9.6 350 75.6 62 -15.4 335 0.0 1
349 Delaware St. 2.0%   0 - 3 0 - 0 7 - 20 6 - 10 -16.4      -23.2 352 +6.8 30 73.5 91 -14.3 332 0.0 1
350 Maryland Eastern Shore 2.0%   0 - 3 0 - 0 6 - 24 6 - 10 -16.7      -24.5 353 +7.8 18 61.4 340 -9.3 286 0.0 1






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Norfolk St. 4.0 24.2 16.0 12.7 10.1 8.8 7.4 6.2 5.2 4.2 3.3 1.9
N.C. A&T 4.3 17.4 15.6 13.4 11.8 10.1 8.5 7.4 6.0 4.6 3.4 1.9
Morgan St. 4.6 17.7 14.0 12.5 10.9 9.6 8.7 7.6 6.4 5.4 4.3 3.1
NC Central 4.5 16.6 14.3 12.8 11.4 10.1 8.8 7.6 6.4 5.4 4.1 2.6
South Carolina St. 5.0 14.1 12.2 11.3 10.8 10.0 9.5 8.6 7.9 6.8 5.3 3.4
Coppin St. 5.1 11.9 11.7 11.6 11.5 10.8 10.1 8.9 7.9 6.7 5.2 3.7
Bethune-Cookman 5.5 10.9 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.1 7.4 5.6
Florida A&M 6.3 6.1 7.2 8.1 8.9 9.5 10.1 10.6 10.7 10.9 10.2 7.7
Howard 6.4 5.8 7.0 7.9 8.8 9.5 10.3 10.9 11.0 10.6 9.9 8.2
Delaware St. 7.9 2.1 3.1 4.2 5.2 6.5 7.9 9.5 11.6 14.0 16.6 19.3
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.9 1.8 2.8 4.0 5.3 6.5 7.9 9.8 11.6 13.8 16.2 20.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 10 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.2 6.1 8.3 10.6 11.9 12.7 12.6 11.2 8.8 5.7 2.8 0.8
N.C. A&T 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.6 7.2 9.9 12.2 13.7 13.6 12.5 9.9 6.6 3.6 1.4 0.3
Morgan St. 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.6 7.8 10.0 11.9 12.8 12.6 11.5 9.3 6.5 3.8 1.6 0.4
NC Central 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.4 7.8 10.1 12.3 13.3 13.3 11.5 9.2 6.1 3.5 1.5 0.3
South Carolina St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.3 6.8 9.1 11.4 12.5 13.0 12.1 10.1 7.7 5.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
Coppin St. 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.3 6.8 9.4 11.7 13.5 13.5 12.3 10.1 7.1 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.1
Bethune-Cookman 8 - 8 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.8 6.0 8.3 10.5 12.0 12.6 12.1 10.7 8.5 6.2 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.1
Florida A&M 7 - 9 0.2 1.1 2.7 5.3 8.2 10.7 12.7 13.5 12.8 11.0 8.7 6.1 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
Howard 7 - 9 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.2 8.2 10.9 12.9 13.8 12.8 10.9 8.5 6.0 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
Delaware St. 6 - 10 1.0 3.7 6.9 10.6 13.4 14.2 13.6 11.8 9.3 6.4 4.5 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 6 - 10 1.0 3.6 7.0 10.9 13.3 14.4 13.5 11.9 9.3 6.7 4.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 24.2% 16.0 6.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
N.C. A&T 17.4% 10.4 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 17.7% 10.9 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
NC Central 16.6% 10.0 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 14.1% 8.5 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 11.9% 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 10.9% 6.3 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 6.1% 3.3 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Howard 5.8% 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 2.1% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 1.8% 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.6 16.7 82.5 0.0%
N.C. A&T 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.6 87.2 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 12.5 87.3 0.0%
NC Central 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8 88.1 0.0%
South Carolina St. 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.5 88.1 0.0%
Coppin St. 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 9.2 90.7 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.0 90.8 0.0%
Florida A&M 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 5.7 94.3 0.0%
Howard 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0 5.1 94.9 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Norfolk St. 17.5% 15.6% 8.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 12.8% 12.1% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.7% 12.0% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 11.9% 11.5% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 11.9% 10.8% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 9.3% 9.0% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 9.2% 8.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 5.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 5.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 43.6% 0.4 56.4 43.6
2nd Round 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0