Howard
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#347
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#334
Pace75.6#56
Improvement-1.0#297

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#289
First Shot-5.0#309
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#119
Layup/Dunks-11.5#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
Freethrows-0.7#208
Improvement+0.3#120

Defense
Total Defense-10.9#351
First Shot-9.9#351
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#237
Layups/Dunks-6.9#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#84
Freethrows-3.6#316
Improvement-1.3#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 6.3% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.3% 10.8% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.8% 46.4% 33.7%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.3% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.7% 11.3% 19.4%
First Four3.2% 6.3% 2.9%
First Round1.1% 2.3% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 158 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 258   @ George Washington L 62-76 12%     0 - 1 -16.1 -10.2 -5.7
  Nov 12, 2019 50   @ Notre Dame L 50-79 1%     0 - 2 -16.4 -15.9 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2019 283   Robert Morris L 65-85 21%     0 - 3 -26.6 -5.5 -22.4
  Nov 17, 2019 84   @ Toledo L 68-112 2%     0 - 4 -34.7 -3.8 -29.1
  Nov 21, 2019 225   @ Marshall L 78-93 8%    
  Nov 23, 2019 89   @ Ball St. L 65-88 1%    
  Nov 26, 2019 230   @ American L 71-85 9%    
  Nov 30, 2019 288   Mount St. Mary's L 73-78 32%    
  Dec 05, 2019 260   @ Hampton L 77-90 13%    
  Dec 14, 2019 184   Appalachian St. L 71-82 17%    
  Dec 22, 2019 102   Harvard L 69-85 6%    
  Dec 30, 2019 107   Penn L 69-85 8%    
  Jan 04, 2020 349   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-60 48%    
  Jan 06, 2020 337   Bethune-Cookman W 81-80 50%    
  Jan 11, 2020 307   Norfolk St. L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 13, 2020 326   South Carolina St. L 78-79 46%    
  Jan 18, 2020 306   @ Morgan St. L 76-85 22%    
  Jan 20, 2020 123   Yale L 73-87 10%    
  Jan 25, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 27, 2020 331   @ Coppin St. L 82-89 28%    
  Feb 01, 2020 306   Morgan St. L 79-82 41%    
  Feb 03, 2020 331   Coppin St. L 85-86 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 10, 2020 337   @ Bethune-Cookman L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 22, 2020 324   @ N.C. A&T L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 24, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 29, 2020 307   @ Norfolk St. L 73-82 24%    
  Mar 02, 2020 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-57 67%    
  Mar 05, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 68-64 65%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 3.8 1.8 0.2 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.5 4.5 4.2 0.6 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.5 1.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.5 2.4 0.1 12.6 8th
9th 0.4 3.0 5.8 3.3 0.3 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.3 5.2 3.4 0.5 13.2 10th
11th 0.3 1.4 3.2 3.8 2.2 0.4 11.3 11th
Total 0.3 1.4 4.0 7.5 10.8 13.2 14.4 13.6 11.5 9.1 6.3 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 94.3% 0.4    0.4 0.0
13-3 78.9% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 51.0% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 16.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 37.0% 37.0% 16.0 0.1 0.1
14-2 0.4% 29.4% 29.4% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 1.1% 20.1% 20.1% 16.0 0.2 0.9
12-4 2.3% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.4 1.9
11-5 3.9% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.5 3.4
10-6 6.3% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.5 5.8
9-7 9.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.6 8.6
8-8 11.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 11.1
7-9 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.4
6-10 14.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.3
5-11 13.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
3-13 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-14 4.0% 4.0
1-15 1.4% 1.4
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%