Howard
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-17.4#348
Expected Predictive Rating-22.2#353
Pace74.1#62
Improvement+2.7#73

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#318
First Shot-3.7#296
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#308
Layup/Dunks-9.0#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#180
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement+1.8#82

Defense
Total Defense-11.7#351
First Shot-8.8#351
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#346
Layups/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement+0.9#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.8% 39.3% 66.0%
First Four0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 19.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 44 - 174 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 191   @ George Washington L 62-76 5%     0 - 1 -12.9 -10.3 -2.5
  Nov 12, 2019 53   @ Notre Dame L 50-79 1%     0 - 2 -16.6 -19.1 +2.8
  Nov 15, 2019 221   Robert Morris L 65-85 11%     0 - 3 -23.7 -4.3 -20.7
  Nov 17, 2019 121   @ Toledo L 68-112 3%     0 - 4 -38.2 -6.8 -29.6
  Nov 21, 2019 156   @ Marshall L 63-91 4%     0 - 5 -24.9 -14.7 -7.0
  Nov 23, 2019 111   @ Ball St. L 69-100 2%     0 - 6 -23.9 +9.6 -36.6
  Nov 26, 2019 220   @ American L 69-86 7%     0 - 7 -17.8 -8.7 -8.2
  Nov 30, 2019 270   Mount St. Mary's L 56-73 21%     0 - 8 -26.0 -19.1 -7.1
  Dec 05, 2019 311   @ Hampton W 94-91 OT 14%     1 - 8 -2.8 -3.5 +0.2
  Dec 14, 2019 188   Appalachian St. L 59-81 11%     1 - 9 -26.3 -17.0 -8.6
  Dec 22, 2019 98   Harvard L 55-60 4%     1 - 10 -2.8 -19.0 +16.3
  Dec 30, 2019 139   Penn L 62-81 7%     1 - 11 -20.2 -11.8 -8.3
  Jan 04, 2020 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 66-78 48%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -28.8 -11.1 -16.8
  Jan 06, 2020 300   Bethune-Cookman L 73-102 27%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -40.0 -13.4 -23.8
  Jan 11, 2020 279   Norfolk St. L 63-71 22%     1 - 14 0 - 3 -17.5 -12.4 -5.1
  Jan 13, 2020 324   South Carolina St. L 95-101 OT 32%     1 - 15 0 - 4 -18.7 +0.8 -18.7
  Jan 18, 2020 322   @ Morgan St. L 58-68 16%     1 - 16 0 - 5 -16.8 -15.6 -1.7
  Jan 20, 2020 70   Yale L 75-89 3%     1 - 17 -9.5 +9.3 -19.3
  Jan 25, 2020 313   Florida A&M L 83-87 29%     1 - 18 0 - 6 -15.8 +3.6 -19.3
  Jan 27, 2020 334   @ Coppin St. L 74-83 20%    
  Feb 01, 2020 322   Morgan St. L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 03, 2020 334   Coppin St. L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 08, 2020 313   @ Florida A&M L 68-79 14%    
  Feb 10, 2020 300   @ Bethune-Cookman L 76-88 12%    
  Feb 22, 2020 291   @ N.C. A&T L 70-83 11%    
  Feb 24, 2020 298   @ NC Central L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 279   @ Norfolk St. L 63-77 10%    
  Mar 02, 2020 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-64 69%    
  Mar 05, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 78-74 63%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 3 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 7th
8th 0.4 2.0 1.7 0.1 4.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.9 9.2 4.9 0.7 0.0 18.9 9th
10th 0.8 9.6 17.0 7.9 1.2 0.0 36.5 10th
11th 3.1 13.9 15.8 6.2 0.7 0.0 39.7 11th
Total 3.1 14.7 25.6 27.1 18.1 8.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
6-10 2.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
5-11 8.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.1
4-12 18.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 18.0
3-13 27.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 27.1
2-14 25.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.6
1-15 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
0-16 3.1% 3.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%