Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2019-20


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
318 Norfolk St. 13.8%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 7 -10.0      -6.6 334 -3.3 273 71.8 95 0.0 1 0.0 1
322 NC Central 13.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 7 -10.1      -6.8 335 -3.3 272 65.0 283 0.0 1 0.0 1
323 South Carolina St. 12.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 7 -10.3      -2.3 248 -8.0 350 67.6 211 0.0 1 0.0 1
325 N.C. A&T 12.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 9 - 7 -10.4      -6.1 327 -4.3 297 65.9 259 0.0 1 0.0 1
326 Bethune-Cookman 12.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 7 -10.4      -6.0 326 -4.4 298 77.5 25 0.0 1 0.0 1
329 Morgan St. 12.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 7 -10.6      -4.8 307 -5.8 331 77.6 24 0.0 1 0.0 1
337 Howard 8.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 19 8 - 8 -12.2      -4.3 296 -7.9 349 75.6 42 0.0 1 0.0 1
341 Florida A&M 5.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 7 - 9 -13.4      -10.3 350 -3.1 260 63.8 308 0.0 1 0.0 1
348 Coppin St. 4.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 23 7 - 9 -14.4      -8.3 343 -6.1 335 73.9 64 0.0 1 0.0 1
349 Delaware St. 3.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 19 6 - 10 -15.1      -26.0 352 +10.9 2 73.5 72 0.0 1 0.0 1
350 Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 23 6 - 10 -16.1      -27.0 353 +10.9 1 60.7 342 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Norfolk St. 4.4 18.5 14.4 12.4 11.1 9.8 8.5 7.4 6.1 5.3 3.9 2.6
NC Central 4.5 17.9 14.3 12.5 11.2 9.7 8.4 7.3 6.4 5.4 4.1 2.8
South Carolina St. 4.8 15.4 13.1 11.9 10.9 9.7 9.4 8.2 7.0 6.4 4.9 3.1
N.C. A&T 4.6 17.1 13.6 12.1 11.0 9.6 8.5 8.0 6.5 5.7 4.5 3.4
Bethune-Cookman 4.9 15.2 12.1 11.3 10.7 10.1 9.3 8.4 7.5 6.4 5.4 3.5
Morgan St. 4.7 16.1 14.0 11.9 11.0 9.8 8.9 7.5 7.0 6.0 4.6 3.3
Howard 5.6 9.4 10.8 9.8 10.5 10.2 9.9 9.5 9.1 8.1 7.0 5.7
Florida A&M 6.6 5.9 6.9 7.4 8.2 8.7 9.3 10.2 10.5 11.7 11.2 10.0
Coppin St. 6.8 4.9 5.6 7.2 7.9 8.8 9.6 10.4 11.2 11.6 11.4 11.5
Delaware St. 7.2 4.0 5.1 5.9 6.6 7.8 8.8 10.1 11.2 12.7 13.7 14.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.6 2.8 3.9 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.2 10.1 11.2 13.1 14.9 17.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 9 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.4 5.2 7.1 9.7 11.2 12.4 12.5 11.3 9.7 7.1 4.5 2.4 0.6
NC Central 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.5 5.5 7.4 9.6 11.1 12.3 12.1 11.4 9.4 7.2 4.6 2.1 0.7
South Carolina St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.2 6.3 8.0 10.4 11.9 12.3 11.8 10.7 8.5 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.5
N.C. A&T 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.8 6.0 7.4 10.0 11.6 11.8 12.2 10.9 9.4 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.6
Bethune-Cookman 9 - 7 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.6 6.4 8.6 10.5 11.8 12.2 11.6 9.9 8.6 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.4
Morgan St. 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.9 5.8 8.0 10.1 11.4 12.1 12.0 10.5 9.3 6.7 4.0 1.7 0.5
Howard 8 - 8 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.7 6.0 8.7 10.2 11.6 12.4 12.1 10.4 8.6 6.2 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
Florida A&M 7 - 9 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.0 9.1 10.7 12.2 12.1 11.4 9.8 7.5 5.9 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
Coppin St. 7 - 9 0.6 2.1 4.5 7.2 9.5 11.7 12.2 12.6 11.3 9.4 7.5 5.1 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
Delaware St. 6 - 10 0.8 3.0 5.3 8.8 11.3 12.3 12.8 11.8 10.2 8.4 6.1 4.3 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 6 - 10 1.3 3.7 7.1 10.0 12.3 12.8 12.8 11.4 9.2 7.2 5.2 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 18.5% 11.7 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
NC Central 17.9% 11.4 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St. 15.4% 9.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
N.C. A&T 17.1% 10.6 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 15.2% 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 16.1% 10.1 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Howard 9.4% 5.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Florida A&M 5.9% 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
Coppin St. 4.9% 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 4.0% 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.8% 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 13.2 86.2 0.0%
NC Central 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 12.6 86.7 0.0%
South Carolina St. 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 11.9 87.5 0.0%
N.C. A&T 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.8 87.8 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 12.4% 12.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.8 87.6 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.7 87.7 0.0%
Howard 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.8 92.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.3 94.6 0.0%
Coppin St. 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 4.0 96.0 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 13.8% 12.4% 7.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 13.3% 11.7% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 12.5% 11.1% 6.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 12.2% 11.0% 6.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 12.4% 11.2% 6.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 12.3% 11.0% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 8.0% 7.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 5.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 4.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 3.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 2.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 47.9% 0.5 52.1 47.9
2nd Round 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0