Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic 10
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
30 St. Bonaventure 100.0%   6   16 - 4 13 - 4 16 - 4 13 - 4 +13.3      +5.7 45 +7.6 18 62.4 320 +13.5 27 +12.4 1
53 Virginia Commonwealth 93.7%   10   19 - 7 12 - 4 19 - 7 12 - 4 +10.0      +1.9 119 +8.1 14 72.1 100 +12.1 41 +12.2 2
55 Saint Louis 20.5%   14 - 6 7 - 5 14 - 6 7 - 5 +9.8      +5.7 46 +4.0 69 67.8 205 +8.7 70 +6.8 4
56 Davidson 0.2%   12 - 8 8 - 5 12 - 8 8 - 5 +9.6      +7.9 23 +1.7 119 59.9 339 +6.7 88 +8.5 3
70 Richmond 12.2%   12 - 8 6 - 6 12 - 8 6 - 6 +8.2      +5.4 51 +2.8 99 70.8 136 +8.0 74 +4.2 8
81 Dayton 5.7%   14 - 9 10 - 8 14 - 9 10 - 8 +7.4      +4.5 74 +2.9 95 64.7 284 +7.5 79 +6.5 5
106 Rhode Island 0.0%   10 - 15 7 - 11 10 - 15 7 - 11 +4.7      +1.4 130 +3.3 82 71.8 106 +2.9 127 +2.3 10
109 Massachusetts 0.0%   8 - 7 7 - 5 8 - 7 7 - 5 +4.4      +2.5 110 +1.9 114 76.0 41 +2.4 135 +4.7 7
114 Duquesne 0.0%   9 - 9 8 - 8 9 - 9 8 - 8 +3.5      0.0 172 +3.5 78 69.6 162 +3.5 120 +3.9 9
128 George Mason 0.0%   12 - 9 9 - 7 12 - 9 9 - 7 +2.6      -0.5 185 +3.1 87 68.0 202 +3.5 119 +5.4 6
194 La Salle 0.0%   8 - 16 6 - 12 8 - 16 6 - 12 -2.3      -0.3 180 -2.0 223 70.4 145 -0.9 177 -0.7 13
196 Saint Joseph's 0.0%   5 - 15 4 - 10 5 - 15 4 - 10 -2.4      -0.4 183 -2.0 225 77.5 30 -1.1 183 -0.6 12
217 George Washington 0.0%   5 - 12 4 - 6 5 - 12 4 - 6 -3.8      -0.6 191 -3.2 260 70.0 151 -7.2 271 -0.4 11
301 Fordham 0.0%   2 - 12 2 - 12 2 - 12 2 - 12 -9.0      -11.9 342 +3.0 92 60.3 337 -7.9 281 -7.9 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
St. Bonaventure 1.0 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 2.0 100.0
Saint Louis 7.0 100.0
Davidson 5.0 100.0
Richmond 10.0 100.0
Dayton 3.0 100.0
Rhode Island 7.0 100.0
Massachusetts 7.0 100.0
Duquesne 5.0 100.0
George Mason 4.0 100.0
La Salle 10.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 12.0 100.0
George Washington 12.0 100.0
Fordham 14.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
St. Bonaventure 13 - 5 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 12 - 6 100.0
Saint Louis 7 - 11 100.0
Davidson 8 - 10 100.0
Richmond 6 - 12 100.0
Dayton 10 - 8 100.0
Rhode Island 7 - 11 100.0
Massachusetts 7 - 11 100.0
Duquesne 8 - 10 100.0
George Mason 9 - 9 100.0
La Salle 6 - 12 100.0
Saint Joseph's 4 - 14 100.0
George Washington 4 - 14 100.0
Fordham 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Bonaventure 100.0% 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth
Saint Louis
Davidson
Richmond
Dayton
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Duquesne
George Mason
La Salle
Saint Joseph's
George Washington
Fordham


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Bonaventure 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6   0.4 2.7 18.6 38.0 30.9 8.5 0.8 0.0
Virginia Commonwealth 93.7% 0.0% 93.7% 10   0.0 0.1 0.6 6.4 39.6 42.6 4.4 0.0 6.3 93.7%
Saint Louis 20.5% 0.0% 20.5% 0.0 0.9 10.9 8.6 0.1 79.5 20.5%
Davidson 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Richmond 12.2% 0.0% 12.2% 0.0 4.1 8.0 0.1 87.8 12.2%
Dayton 5.7% 0.0% 5.7% 0.0 1.6 3.9 0.2 94.3 5.7%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Bonaventure 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 62.6% 26.7% 9.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Virginia Commonwealth 93.7% 0.2% 93.6% 35.9% 7.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Saint Louis 20.5% 15.5% 12.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Davidson 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richmond 12.2% 11.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dayton 5.7% 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.3 3.7 63.8 29.1 3.3 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 2.1 4.8 76.5 17.8 0.8 0.0
2nd Round 78.6% 1.0 21.4 53.7 23.6 1.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 33.6% 0.4 66.4 31.3 2.3 0.0
Elite Eight 12.4% 0.1 87.6 12.2 0.2
Final Four 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8 0.0
Final Game 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Champion 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2