Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#30
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#27
Pace62.4#320
Improvement+3.8#34

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#45
First Shot+3.6#81
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#48
Layup/Dunks+4.4#34
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#150
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement+2.1#60

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#18
First Shot+7.4#9
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#162
Layups/Dunks+5.0#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows+2.9#15
Improvement+1.6#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 3.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 59.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round62.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen26.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.9% n/a n/a
Final Four3.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b4 - 14 - 2
Quad 22 - 16 - 3
Quad 35 - 111 - 4
Quad 45 - 016 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 15, 2020 111   Akron W 81-74 80%     1 - 0 +11.4 +1.4 +9.4
  Dec 19, 2020 183   Hofstra W 77-69 93%     2 - 0 +4.9 -3.9 +8.5
  Dec 30, 2020 106   @ Rhode Island L 57-63 74%     2 - 1 0 - 1 +0.6 -11.4 +12.0
  Jan 02, 2021 70   @ Richmond W 69-66 62%     3 - 1 1 - 1 +13.1 +6.6 +6.8
  Jan 06, 2021 196   Saint Joseph's W 83-57 94%     4 - 1 2 - 1 +21.7 +6.4 +15.0
  Jan 13, 2021 301   @ Fordham W 68-54 96%     5 - 1 3 - 1 +6.9 +10.0 -0.8
  Jan 15, 2021 114   Duquesne W 62-48 86%     6 - 1 4 - 1 +15.6 +0.8 +16.9
  Jan 20, 2021 53   Virginia Commonwealth W 70-54 69%     7 - 1 5 - 1 +24.2 +7.7 +17.2
  Jan 23, 2021 114   @ Duquesne W 65-61 77%     8 - 1 6 - 1 +9.4 -0.7 +10.3
  Jan 30, 2021 128   George Mason W 84-67 88%     9 - 1 7 - 1 +17.7 +17.3 +1.2
  Feb 06, 2021 55   @ Saint Louis L 59-70 56%     9 - 2 7 - 2 +0.6 -3.6 +3.3
  Feb 09, 2021 194   La Salle W 86-73 94%     10 - 2 8 - 2 +8.8 +20.6 -10.3
  Feb 12, 2021 53   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-67 55%     10 - 3 8 - 3 +8.9 +4.1 +4.7
  Feb 21, 2021 56   Davidson W 69-58 70%     11 - 3 9 - 3 +18.7 +14.9 +6.7
  Feb 24, 2021 56   @ Davidson W 56-53 57%     12 - 3 10 - 3 +14.5 -0.6 +15.8
  Feb 26, 2021 217   George Washington W 88-41 95%     13 - 3 11 - 3 +41.3 +23.7 +24.4
  Mar 01, 2021 81   Dayton L 52-55 77%     13 - 4 11 - 4 +2.5 -14.1 +16.3
  Mar 05, 2021 114   Duquesne W 75-59 82%     14 - 4 12 - 4 +19.5 +8.8 +11.4
  Mar 06, 2021 55   Saint Louis W 71-53 64%     15 - 4 13 - 4 +27.8 +11.8 +18.4
  Mar 14, 2021 53   Virginia Commonwealth W 74-65 62%     16 - 4 +19.0 +11.5 +7.8
Projected Record 16 - 4 13 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3
13-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.3 0.4 2.7 18.6 38.0 30.9 8.5 0.8 0.0
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.3 0.4 2.7 18.6 38.0 30.9 8.5 0.8 0.0