Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
105 Eastern Washington 100.0%   15   15 - 7 12 - 3 15 - 7 12 - 3 +4.7      +3.7 89 +1.0 143 77.8 24 +2.7 131 +2.8 3
125 Weber St. 0.0%   14 - 6 12 - 3 14 - 6 12 - 3 +2.7      +3.5 92 -0.8 198 76.1 40 +2.0 140 +3.5 2
139 Southern Utah 0.0%   15 - 4 12 - 2 15 - 4 12 - 2 +1.7      +4.2 80 -2.4 240 72.7 93 +5.3 103 +8.2 1
199 Montana 0.0%   10 - 13 7 - 9 10 - 13 7 - 9 -2.7      -2.5 242 -0.1 176 64.7 282 -2.2 195 -4.0 6
218 Montana St. 0.0%   11 - 10 8 - 6 11 - 10 8 - 6 -3.8      -2.2 237 -1.6 213 68.7 184 -1.9 192 -2.6 4
231 Northern Colorado 0.0%   8 - 11 6 - 8 8 - 11 6 - 8 -4.6      -2.2 235 -2.4 239 68.1 200 -6.1 251 -7.2 9
247 Portland St. 0.0%   6 - 12 6 - 8 6 - 12 6 - 8 -5.5      -7.0 313 +1.5 125 72.0 103 -8.6 291 -6.4 8
256 Sacramento St. 0.0%   6 - 12 5 - 9 6 - 12 5 - 9 -6.0      +0.4 162 -6.4 316 62.8 315 -6.1 252 -5.9 7
261 Idaho St. 0.0%   8 - 11 8 - 6 8 - 11 8 - 6 -6.5      -6.3 306 -0.2 177 62.4 323 -5.8 244 -3.1 5
308 Northern Arizona 0.0%   6 - 16 4 - 10 6 - 16 4 - 10 -9.5      -2.6 243 -7.0 327 61.5 329 -8.5 289 -9.8 10
340 Idaho 0.0%   1 - 21 1 - 17 1 - 21 1 - 17 -15.7      -7.7 323 -7.9 340 67.0 228 -20.5 343 -20.3 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Eastern Washington 1.0 100.0
Weber St. 1.0 100.0
Southern Utah 1.0 100.0
Montana 6.0 100.0
Montana St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 7.0 100.0
Portland St. 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 9.0 100.0
Idaho St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0
Idaho 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Eastern Washington 12 - 8 100.0
Weber St. 12 - 8 100.0
Southern Utah 12 - 8 100.0
Montana 7 - 13 100.0
Montana St. 8 - 12 100.0
Northern Colorado 6 - 14 100.0
Portland St. 6 - 14 100.0
Sacramento St. 5 - 15 100.0
Idaho St. 8 - 12 100.0
Northern Arizona 4 - 16 100.0
Idaho 1 - 19 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0
Weber St. 100.0% 100.0
Southern Utah 100.0% 100.0
Montana
Montana St.
Northern Colorado
Portland St.
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona
Idaho


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.5 42.0 56.7 0.8
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Eastern Washington 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 12.0% 0.1 88.0 12.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.5% 0.0 97.5 2.5
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0