Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#247
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#291
Pace72.0#103
Improvement+1.6#105

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#313
First Shot-9.4#339
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#35
Layup/Dunks-6.7#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#250
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement-0.4#193

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#125
First Shot-0.6#187
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#31
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#222
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#86
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement+1.9#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 45 - 56 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 05, 2020 322   @ Portland L 73-86 67%     0 - 1 -23.0 -19.4 -1.3
  Dec 13, 2020 98   @ Washington St. L 60-69 12%     0 - 2 -1.8 -5.7 +3.9
  Dec 18, 2020 125   Weber St. L 66-94 27%     0 - 3 0 - 1 -27.2 -18.8 -4.0
  Dec 20, 2020 125   Weber St. W 74-72 27%     1 - 3 1 - 1 +2.8 -6.3 +9.0
  Dec 22, 2020 80   @ Oregon St. L 62-67 9%     1 - 4 +4.3 -3.6 +7.7
  Jan 14, 2021 218   @ Montana St. L 64-71 36%     1 - 5 1 - 2 -8.9 -10.7 +2.0
  Jan 16, 2021 218   @ Montana St. L 64-69 36%     1 - 6 1 - 3 -6.9 -10.0 +3.1
  Jan 21, 2021 261   Idaho St. L 57-64 61%     1 - 7 1 - 4 -15.4 -6.9 -9.7
  Jan 23, 2021 261   Idaho St. W 69-43 61%     2 - 7 2 - 4 +17.6 -1.8 +20.6
  Feb 04, 2021 199   Montana L 64-70 OT 46%     2 - 8 2 - 5 -10.6 -17.5 +7.7
  Feb 06, 2021 199   Montana W 61-56 46%     3 - 8 3 - 5 +0.4 -1.6 +3.0
  Feb 18, 2021 340   Idaho W 84-64 87%     4 - 8 4 - 5 +2.4 +0.9 +1.2
  Feb 20, 2021 340   @ Idaho W 71-40 78%     5 - 8 5 - 5 +17.2 -1.3 +21.8
  Feb 25, 2021 231   @ Northern Colorado L 64-66 39%     5 - 9 5 - 6 -4.7 -10.6 +5.9
  Feb 27, 2021 231   @ Northern Colorado W 73-65 39%     6 - 9 6 - 6 +5.3 -1.2 +6.5
  Mar 04, 2021 139   Southern Utah L 58-68 30%     6 - 10 6 - 7 -10.2 -17.5 +7.3
  Mar 06, 2021 139   Southern Utah L 54-73 30%     6 - 11 6 - 8 -19.2 -11.9 -10.8
  Mar 10, 2021 308   Northern Arizona L 66-77 65%     6 - 12 -20.5 -16.8 -3.2
Projected Record 6 - 12 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%