Pre-tourney Rankings
Big West
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 UC Santa Barbara 100.0%   13   20 - 4 13 - 3 20 - 4 13 - 3 +6.8      +4.6 71 +2.2 104 64.5 287 +8.7 72 +6.8 1
119 UC Irvine 0.0%   16 - 9 12 - 3 16 - 9 12 - 3 +3.3      -2.1 232 +5.5 44 67.9 204 +3.6 117 +6.2 2
124 UC Riverside 0.0%   14 - 8 9 - 4 14 - 8 9 - 4 +2.8      -0.1 177 +2.9 93 65.7 258 +1.1 150 +1.2 3
204 Hawaii 0.0%   9 - 10 9 - 7 9 - 10 9 - 7 -3.2      -1.4 213 -1.8 220 65.7 259 -3.1 209 -1.0 4
229 UC Davis 0.0%   9 - 8 7 - 5 9 - 8 7 - 5 -4.5      -4.0 270 -0.5 188 71.0 126 -2.7 205 -2.9 5
255 UC San Diego 0.0%   4 - 10 4 - 8 4 - 10 4 - 8 -5.9      -0.5 189 -5.4 304 71.0 125 -5.6 240 -4.7 6
258 Long Beach St. 0.0%   6 - 12 3 - 7 6 - 12 3 - 7 -6.0      -3.8 266 -2.2 234 80.6 11 -6.6 260 -9.0 9
262 Cal St. Fullerton 0.0%   5 - 10 4 - 8 5 - 10 4 - 8 -6.5      +0.3 166 -6.8 326 75.6 50 -8.1 284 -8.3 8
282 Cal St. Northridge 0.0%   8 - 13 4 - 8 8 - 13 4 - 8 -7.9      -1.3 211 -6.6 324 73.7 77 -5.3 234 -8.0 7
321 Cal Poly 0.0%   3 - 20 1 - 13 3 - 20 1 - 13 -11.9      -8.8 337 -3.1 259 66.5 240 -13.7 329 -17.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
UC Santa Barbara 1.0 100.0
UC Irvine 2.0 100.0
UC Riverside 3.0 100.0
Hawaii 3.0 100.0
UC Davis 5.0 100.0
UC San Diego 6.0 100.0
Long Beach St. 9.0 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 6.0 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 6.0 100.0
Cal Poly 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
UC Santa Barbara 13 - 3 100.0
UC Irvine 12 - 4 100.0
UC Riverside 9 - 7 100.0
Hawaii 9 - 7 100.0
UC Davis 7 - 9 100.0
UC San Diego 4 - 12 100.0
Long Beach St. 3 - 13 100.0
Cal St. Fullerton 4 - 12 100.0
Cal St. Northridge 4 - 12 100.0
Cal Poly 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 100.0
UC Irvine
UC Riverside
Hawaii
UC Davis
UC San Diego
Long Beach St.
Cal St. Fullerton
Cal St. Northridge
Cal Poly


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 2.0 43.2 53.2 1.5
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UC Santa Barbara 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 21.7% 5.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Irvine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Riverside 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hawaii 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC Davis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UC San Diego 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long Beach St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Fullerton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Northridge 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal Poly 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 21.7% 0.2 78.3 21.7
Sweet Sixteen 5.9% 0.1 94.1 5.9
Elite Eight 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0