Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#229
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#205
Pace71.0#126
Improvement+1.2#124

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#270
First Shot-3.8#272
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#188
Layup/Dunks+0.2#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#315
Freethrows+1.0#108
Improvement-1.8#276

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#188
First Shot+0.5#145
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#260
Layups/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#56
Freethrows-2.8#326
Improvement+3.1#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 48 - 39 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 193   Nicholls St. L 93-101 41%     0 - 1 -10.2 +4.8 -13.8
  Nov 27, 2020 168   @ Santa Clara L 63-66 27%     0 - 2 -1.2 -14.2 +13.3
  Nov 28, 2020 261   Idaho St. W 70-61 58%     1 - 2 +2.5 -1.6 +4.3
  Jan 22, 2021 255   @ UC San Diego L 69-89 48%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -24.0 -15.0 -7.0
  Jan 23, 2021 255   @ UC San Diego W 78-71 48%     2 - 3 1 - 1 +3.0 -4.1 +6.7
  Jan 29, 2021 85   UC Santa Barbara L 51-72 19%     2 - 4 1 - 2 -16.1 -18.1 +1.1
  Jan 30, 2021 85   UC Santa Barbara L 86-89 OT 19%     2 - 5 1 - 3 +1.9 +7.2 -5.0
  Feb 05, 2021 282   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-80 56%     2 - 6 1 - 4 -9.0 -3.5 -5.4
  Feb 06, 2021 282   @ Cal St. Northridge W 75-63 56%     3 - 6 2 - 4 +6.0 -1.0 +7.4
  Feb 12, 2021 258   Long Beach St. W 68-66 63%     4 - 6 3 - 4 -5.9 -8.7 +2.8
  Feb 13, 2021 258   Long Beach St. W 78-76 OT 63%     5 - 6 4 - 4 -5.9 -7.4 +1.2
  Feb 26, 2021 321   @ Cal Poly W 69-61 70%     6 - 6 5 - 4 -2.0 -2.9 +1.2
  Feb 27, 2021 321   @ Cal Poly W 68-66 OT 70%     7 - 6 6 - 4 -8.0 -12.5 +4.4
  Mar 05, 2021 204   Hawaii L 68-73 53%     7 - 7 6 - 5 -10.1 -5.9 -4.4
  Mar 06, 2021 204   Hawaii W 74-66 53%     8 - 7 7 - 5 +2.9 +2.7 +0.7
  Mar 11, 2021 169   Cal St. Bakersfield W 58-56 34%     9 - 7 +1.9 -9.1 +11.3
  Mar 12, 2021 85   UC Santa Barbara L 55-71 15%     9 - 8 -9.2 -12.6 +2.6
Projected Record 9 - 8 7 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big West Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5 0.0%
6-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5 100.0% 100.0
6-6
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%