Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
142 Drexel 100.0%   15   12 - 7 4 - 5 12 - 7 4 - 5 +1.2      +4.0 82 -2.8 252 62.1 326 +0.7 155 -2.7 5
151 James Madison 0.0%   10 - 7 8 - 2 10 - 7 8 - 2 +0.8      +1.4 129 -0.6 193 77.6 28 -0.3 167 +5.7 1
155 Northeastern 0.0%   10 - 9 8 - 2 10 - 9 8 - 2 +0.6      -2.3 238 +2.9 94 67.0 229 +2.0 139 +4.8 2
183 Hofstra 0.0%   13 - 10 8 - 6 13 - 10 8 - 6 -1.2      +3.0 102 -4.2 286 69.0 178 +0.2 160 -1.1 3
192 Elon 0.0%   9 - 9 4 - 7 9 - 9 4 - 7 -2.2      -3.3 256 +1.2 139 64.9 280 -1.5 187 -4.0 8
205 College of Charleston 0.0%   7 - 10 6 - 4 7 - 10 6 - 4 -3.3      +0.9 149 -4.1 285 61.3 331 -4.8 228 -1.6 4
209 Delaware 0.0%   6 - 8 5 - 4 6 - 8 5 - 4 -3.4      -3.6 262 +0.2 161 66.4 244 -5.4 237 -3.4 7
252 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   6 - 10 1 - 6 6 - 10 1 - 6 -5.8      -0.4 182 -5.4 305 72.1 101 -7.2 272 -14.3 10
270 William & Mary 0.0%   7 - 10 4 - 6 7 - 10 4 - 6 -7.3      -5.1 289 -2.2 232 68.7 185 -3.4 215 -3.3 6
273 Towson 0.0%   4 - 14 3 - 9 4 - 14 3 - 9 -7.5      -1.6 218 -5.9 309 64.4 289 -9.7 309 -9.9 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Drexel 6.0 100.0
James Madison 1.0 100.0
Northeastern 1.0 100.0
Hofstra 1.0 100.0
Elon 6.0 100.0
College of Charleston 4.0 100.0
Delaware 5.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 10.0 100.0
William & Mary 6.0 100.0
Towson 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Drexel 4 - 14 100.0
James Madison 8 - 10 100.0
Northeastern 8 - 10 100.0
Hofstra 8 - 10 100.0
Elon 4 - 14 100.0
College of Charleston 6 - 12 100.0
Delaware 5 - 13 100.0
UNC Wilmington 1 - 17 100.0
William & Mary 4 - 14 100.0
Towson 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Drexel
James Madison 100.0% 100.0
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0
Elon
College of Charleston
Delaware
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
Towson


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Drexel 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.2 34.3 65.5
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Drexel 100.0% 28.4% 89.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 89.8% 0.9 10.2 89.8
2nd Round 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0