Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#252
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#272
Pace72.1#101
Improvement-4.2#317

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#182
First Shot+1.3#133
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#285
Layup/Dunks-1.6#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#212
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#166
Freethrows+3.8#5
Improvement-1.4#259

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#305
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#332
Layups/Dunks-5.7#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#19
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement-2.8#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 13 - 2
Quad 43 - 86 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 238   Western Carolina L 76-98 47%     0 - 1 -27.0 -9.8 -14.5
  Nov 27, 2020 241   @ UNC Asheville W 76-68 40%     1 - 1 +4.8 -3.3 +7.7
  Nov 28, 2020 274   Troy W 73-50 56%     2 - 1 +15.5 +8.2 +10.3
  Dec 07, 2020 170   @ East Carolina L 78-88 OT 23%     2 - 2 -8.2 -2.1 -4.7
  Dec 12, 2020 48   @ Mississippi L 58-78 5%     2 - 3 -7.5 -5.0 -3.1
  Dec 18, 2020 206   @ Norfolk St. W 80-72 33%     3 - 3 +6.6 +9.4 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2020 230   @ Campbell W 78-59 38%     4 - 3 +16.4 +3.2 +13.5
  Dec 23, 2020 344   Delaware St. W 87-63 91%     5 - 3 +3.5 -3.8 +5.4
  Jan 18, 2021 273   @ Towson L 69-72 49%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -8.6 -11.0 +2.5
  Jan 19, 2021 273   @ Towson L 74-78 49%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -9.6 -3.2 -6.4
  Jan 23, 2021 209   Delaware W 77-70 48%     6 - 5 1 - 2 +1.8 +4.0 -2.2
  Jan 24, 2021 209   Delaware L 62-67 48%     6 - 6 1 - 3 -10.2 -7.8 -2.7
  Jan 30, 2021 183   Hofstra L 73-82 39%     6 - 7 1 - 4 -12.1 +3.9 -17.1
  Jan 31, 2021 183   Hofstra L 83-89 39%     6 - 8 1 - 5 -9.1 +3.1 -12.1
  Feb 27, 2021 192   Elon L 77-80 43%     6 - 9 1 - 6 -7.1 +7.0 -14.2
  Mar 06, 2021 270   William & Mary L 60-73 56%     6 - 10 -20.3 -17.4 -2.4
Projected Record 6 - 10 1 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-7 1-6 2-5 3-4 4-3 5-2 6-1 7-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
7-0
6-1
5-2
4-3
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
7-0
6-1
5-2
4-3
3-4
2-5
1-6 100.0% 100.0
0-7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%