Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
112 Grand Canyon 100.0%   15   14 - 6 9 - 3 14 - 6 9 - 3 +4.1      +1.0 146 +3.2 86 63.9 300 +1.9 143 +1.0 1
158 New Mexico St. 0.0%   9 - 8 7 - 6 9 - 8 7 - 6 +0.5      +2.1 117 -1.6 215 61.2 333 -2.5 201 -2.2 5
169 Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0%   13 - 11 0 - 0 13 - 11 0 - 0 -0.1      +0.7 156 -0.7 195 61.2 332 -0.3 169 0.0 3
215 Utah Valley 0.0%   9 - 11 9 - 4 9 - 11 9 - 4 -3.5      -1.6 220 -1.9 222 73.1 86 -3.5 216 +0.1 2
222 Seattle 0.0%   8 - 11 4 - 5 8 - 11 4 - 5 -4.2      -2.7 245 -1.5 209 71.7 107 -5.3 232 -4.7 7
239 California Baptist 0.0%   9 - 10 6 - 6 9 - 10 6 - 6 -5.0      +1.2 136 -6.3 314 73.3 84 -6.5 256 -4.0 6
257 Tarleton St. 0.0%   5 - 10 5 - 7 5 - 10 5 - 7 -6.0      -3.5 260 -2.5 243 62.1 325 -5.5 239 -5.0 8
297 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   5 - 10 2 - 5 5 - 10 2 - 5 -8.7      -8.4 331 -0.3 185 73.7 78 -9.6 306 -13.3 10
325 Dixie St. 0.0%   6 - 13 4 - 10 6 - 13 4 - 10 -12.1      -8.7 336 -3.4 265 79.0 19 -8.6 292 -8.9 9
346 Chicago St. 0.0%   0 - 9 0 - 0 0 - 9 0 - 0 -23.7      -16.0 346 -7.7 336 72.3 96 -17.1 337 0.0 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Grand Canyon 1.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 3.0 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 9.0 100.0
Utah Valley 1.0 100.0
Seattle 6.0 100.0
California Baptist 4.0 100.0
Tarleton St. 5.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 8.0 100.0
Dixie St. 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Grand Canyon 9 - 7 100.0
New Mexico St. 7 - 9 100.0
Cal St. Bakersfield 0 - 16 100.0
Utah Valley 9 - 7 100.0
Seattle 4 - 12 100.0
California Baptist 6 - 10 100.0
Tarleton St. 5 - 11 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 2 - 14 100.0
Dixie St. 4 - 12 100.0
Chicago St. 0 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Grand Canyon 100.0% 100.0
New Mexico St.
Cal St. Bakersfield
Utah Valley 100.0% 100.0
Seattle
California Baptist
Tarleton St.
UT Rio Grande Valley
Dixie St.
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Grand Canyon 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.2 25.1 71.7 3.0
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dixie St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Grand Canyon 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dixie St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.8% 0.1 90.2 9.8
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0