Pre-tourney Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#257
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#239
Pace62.1#325
Improvement+1.7#103

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#260
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#325
Layup/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#261
Freethrows+1.5#72
Improvement+0.1#172

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#243
First Shot-1.5#222
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#255
Layups/Dunks+3.1#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#339
Freethrows-2.4#316
Improvement+1.6#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 44 - 45 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 133   @ Texas A&M L 66-73 17%     0 - 1 -2.9 -7.8 +5.3
  Dec 05, 2020 100   @ Abilene Christian L 48-69 11%     0 - 2 -13.8 -18.3 +4.1
  Jan 08, 2021 112   Grand Canyon L 72-75 22%     0 - 3 0 - 1 -0.8 +4.2 -5.1
  Jan 09, 2021 112   Grand Canyon L 48-59 22%     0 - 4 0 - 2 -8.8 -14.4 +3.7
  Jan 15, 2021 239   @ California Baptist L 74-83 39%     0 - 5 0 - 3 -12.1 -4.8 -7.2
  Jan 16, 2021 239   @ California Baptist L 67-73 39%     0 - 6 0 - 4 -9.1 -8.6 -0.8
  Jan 17, 2021 125   @ Weber St. L 79-94 16%     0 - 7 -10.4 +6.5 -16.9
  Jan 29, 2021 215   @ Utah Valley L 60-73 34%     0 - 8 0 - 5 -14.6 -8.2 -7.7
  Jan 30, 2021 215   @ Utah Valley W 70-62 34%     1 - 8 1 - 5 +6.4 +7.3 +0.4
  Feb 19, 2021 325   @ Dixie St. W 77-59 66%     2 - 8 2 - 5 +7.8 +2.8 +5.2
  Feb 20, 2021 325   @ Dixie St. L 48-64 66%     2 - 9 2 - 6 -26.2 -22.0 -6.0
  Feb 26, 2021 158   New Mexico St. L 51-78 33%     2 - 10 2 - 7 -28.4 -19.7 -11.1
  Feb 27, 2021 158   New Mexico St. W 64-55 33%     3 - 10 3 - 7 +7.6 +4.8 +5.1
  Mar 05, 2021 297   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 65-47 53%     4 - 10 4 - 7 +11.2 -1.4 +14.2
  Mar 06, 2021 297   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 69-58 53%     5 - 10 5 - 7 +4.2 -2.2 +6.6
Projected Record 5 - 10 5 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
5-7 100.0% 100.0
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%