Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#226
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#238
Pace67.5#217
Improvement-5.7#332

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#247
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks+2.5#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#334
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement-7.0#346

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#212
First Shot-0.2#168
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#288
Layups/Dunks+1.1#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#299
Freethrows+0.8#122
Improvement+1.3#109
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 48 - 910 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 248   Prairie View W 71-66 55%     1 - 0 -0.6 -1.1 +0.5
  Nov 27, 2020 97   UNC Greensboro L 70-77 18%     1 - 1 -1.7 +0.0 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2020 114   Duquesne W 76-66 23%     2 - 1 +13.5 +4.6 +8.6
  Dec 03, 2020 102   Winthrop L 75-80 19%     2 - 2 +0.2 +3.3 -2.9
  Dec 06, 2020 327   Central Arkansas W 86-83 83%     3 - 2 -11.6 -6.7 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2020 91   @ Missouri St. L 77-85 13%     3 - 3 -0.3 +6.0 -6.2
  Jan 01, 2021 235   Texas Arlington W 102-93 60%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +2.2 +12.6 -11.6
  Jan 02, 2021 235   Texas Arlington W 75-62 60%     5 - 3 2 - 0 +6.2 -0.9 +7.0
  Jan 08, 2021 195   @ Louisiana L 64-66 36%     5 - 4 2 - 1 -2.5 -6.8 +4.2
  Jan 09, 2021 195   @ Louisiana W 78-76 OT 36%     6 - 4 3 - 1 +1.5 +0.3 +1.1
  Jan 15, 2021 179   Texas St. L 59-63 43%     6 - 5 3 - 2 -6.6 -9.6 +2.7
  Jan 16, 2021 179   Texas St. L 56-67 43%     6 - 6 3 - 3 -13.6 -3.1 -13.2
  Jan 22, 2021 235   @ Texas Arlington W 66-59 45%     7 - 6 4 - 3 +4.0 -12.1 +15.6
  Jan 23, 2021 235   @ Texas Arlington L 61-66 45%     7 - 7 4 - 4 -8.0 -10.4 +2.2
  Jan 29, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 66-62 69%     8 - 7 5 - 4 -5.6 -5.8 +0.4
  Jan 30, 2021 278   Louisiana Monroe W 65-49 69%     9 - 7 6 - 4 +6.4 -5.0 +12.8
  Feb 05, 2021 179   @ Texas St. L 47-57 30%     9 - 8 6 - 5 -8.8 -14.2 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2021 179   @ Texas St. L 67-77 OT 30%     9 - 9 6 - 6 -8.8 +2.4 -12.1
  Feb 12, 2021 232   @ Arkansas St. L 62-73 44%     9 - 10 6 - 7 -13.7 -7.1 -7.7
  Feb 13, 2021 232   Arkansas St. L 65-67 58%     9 - 11 6 - 8 -8.5 -3.5 -5.3
  Feb 21, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 66-78 56%     9 - 12 6 - 9 -17.8 -6.1 -11.9
  Feb 22, 2021 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 64-68 56%     9 - 13 6 - 10 -9.8 -8.7 -1.2
  Feb 26, 2021 195   Louisiana L 61-66 50%     9 - 14 6 - 11 -9.3 -16.4 +7.2
  Feb 27, 2021 195   Louisiana W 69-59 50%     10 - 14 7 - 11 +5.7 -6.6 +12.3
  Mar 05, 2021 191   Appalachian St. L 60-67 42%     10 - 15 -9.1 -8.1 -1.7
Projected Record 10 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%