Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#97
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#108
Pace69.5#168
Improvement+5.2#13

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#131
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#26
Layup/Dunks-0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#154
Freethrows-2.2#312
Improvement+3.5#23

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot+4.9#43
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#257
Layups/Dunks+1.7#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#28
Freethrows-1.4#279
Improvement+1.7#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 24 - 14 - 2
Quad 39 - 413 - 6
Quad 48 - 221 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 226   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-70 82%     1 - 0 +2.7 +1.4 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2020 102   Winthrop L 67-75 51%     1 - 1 -2.8 -10.6 +8.8
  Dec 02, 2020 114   Duquesne L 68-81 57%     1 - 2 -9.5 -5.0 -3.8
  Dec 10, 2020 293   @ Coppin St. L 80-85 87%     1 - 3 -11.7 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 13, 2020 206   Norfolk St. W 64-47 84%     2 - 3 +11.8 -9.3 +21.6
  Dec 15, 2020 315   South Carolina Upstate W 65-57 94%     3 - 3 -4.6 -14.7 +10.0
  Dec 19, 2020 192   @ Elon W 71-64 71%     4 - 3 +6.7 +4.1 +2.9
  Dec 22, 2020 299   @ N.C. A&T W 86-65 87%     5 - 3 +14.1 +3.4 +8.8
  Jan 02, 2021 131   East Tennessee St. L 61-71 68%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -9.5 -8.4 -1.6
  Jan 06, 2021 127   @ Wofford W 84-75 53%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +13.6 +13.7 +0.0
  Jan 09, 2021 127   Wofford L 45-48 67%     6 - 5 1 - 2 -2.2 -23.4 +20.8
  Jan 14, 2021 269   @ Samford W 87-63 84%     7 - 5 2 - 2 +18.6 +6.2 +10.6
  Jan 16, 2021 269   @ Samford W 82-70 84%     8 - 5 3 - 2 +6.6 +6.8 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2021 220   The Citadel W 87-73 85%     9 - 5 4 - 2 +8.0 +6.1 +1.5
  Jan 23, 2021 164   @ Chattanooga W 74-66 62%     10 - 5 5 - 2 +10.1 +10.9 +0.2
  Jan 27, 2021 136   Mercer W 81-68 70%     11 - 5 6 - 2 +13.1 +9.2 +4.3
  Jan 30, 2021 160   VMI W 76-59 74%     12 - 5 7 - 2 +15.5 -6.3 +20.7
  Feb 03, 2021 220   @ The Citadel W 85-66 76%     13 - 5 8 - 2 +16.8 +4.1 +11.7
  Feb 08, 2021 94   @ Furman L 49-68 42%     13 - 6 8 - 3 -11.5 -24.2 +13.7
  Feb 10, 2021 94   Furman W 64-58 56%     14 - 6 9 - 3 +9.7 -2.3 +12.6
  Feb 13, 2021 136   @ Mercer W 77-74 56%     15 - 6 10 - 3 +6.9 +4.5 +2.4
  Feb 17, 2021 160   @ VMI L 77-88 62%     15 - 7 10 - 4 -8.7 +1.2 -9.8
  Feb 20, 2021 164   Chattanooga W 60-55 75%     16 - 7 11 - 4 +3.3 -2.5 +6.8
  Feb 22, 2021 238   @ Western Carolina W 77-56 79%     17 - 7 12 - 4 +17.9 +3.7 +14.7
  Feb 24, 2021 238   Western Carolina L 80-81 87%     17 - 8 12 - 5 -7.9 -3.2 -4.6
  Feb 27, 2021 131   @ East Tennessee St. W 85-74 OT 54%     18 - 8 13 - 5 +15.3 +10.3 +4.4
  Mar 06, 2021 220   The Citadel W 80-72 81%     19 - 8 +3.9 -3.0 +6.4
  Mar 07, 2021 131   East Tennessee St. W 77-65 61%     20 - 8 +14.4 +16.1 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2021 136   Mercer W 69-61 63%     21 - 8 +10.0 -3.6 +13.7
Projected Record 21 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.1 0.0 5.6 75.1 19.2 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 5.6 75.1 19.2 0.0