Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.1#3
Expected Predictive Rating+23.9#2
Pace69.6#160
Improvement-7.4#345

Offense
Total Offense+14.6#2
First Shot+9.0#7
After Offensive Rebound+5.6#3
Layup/Dunks+2.5#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#32
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement-2.4#295

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#43
First Shot+4.9#44
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#119
Layups/Dunks+7.9#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#147
Freethrows+1.0#103
Improvement-5.0#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 19.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 77.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen74.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight54.7% n/a n/a
Final Four34.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game18.2% n/a n/a
National Champion8.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 16 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 18 - 2
Quad 22 - 010 - 2
Quad 36 - 016 - 2
Quad 46 - 022 - 2


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 195   Louisiana W 112-82 97%     1 - 0 +27.6 +21.9 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2020 161   Washington W 86-52 96%     2 - 0 +34.3 +17.1 +18.7
  Dec 02, 2020 2   Illinois W 82-69 47%     3 - 0 +33.8 +21.1 +13.1
  Dec 09, 2020 145   Stephen F. Austin W 83-52 96%     4 - 0 +30.1 +0.4 +26.4
  Dec 19, 2020 137   @ Kansas St. W 100-69 93%     5 - 0 1 - 0 +34.8 +34.4 +1.1
  Dec 21, 2020 342   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 99-42 99.8%    6 - 0 +38.1 +16.0 +21.6
  Dec 29, 2020 327   Central Arkansas W 93-56 99.6%    7 - 0 +22.4 -0.4 +18.6
  Dec 30, 2020 339   Alcorn St. W 105-76 99.7%    8 - 0 +12.0 +21.7 -10.5
  Jan 02, 2021 162   @ Iowa St. W 76-65 94%     9 - 0 2 - 0 +13.2 -0.4 +12.8
  Jan 06, 2021 38   Oklahoma W 76-61 83%     10 - 0 3 - 0 +25.0 +12.6 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2021 129   @ TCU W 67-49 92%     11 - 0 4 - 0 +22.5 +1.4 +22.6
  Jan 16, 2021 22   @ Texas Tech W 68-60 64%     12 - 0 5 - 0 +24.3 +3.6 +20.7
  Jan 18, 2021 17   Kansas W 77-69 76%     13 - 0 6 - 0 +20.8 +18.9 +2.6
  Jan 23, 2021 28   @ Oklahoma St. W 81-66 67%     14 - 0 7 - 0 +30.5 +19.5 +11.6
  Jan 27, 2021 137   Kansas St. W 107-59 96%     15 - 0 8 - 0 +48.0 +26.3 +16.8
  Jan 30, 2021 60   Auburn W 84-72 88%     16 - 0 +19.4 +10.9 +8.2
  Feb 02, 2021 25   @ Texas W 83-69 65%     17 - 0 9 - 0 +30.2 +21.2 +9.7
  Feb 23, 2021 162   Iowa St. W 77-72 97%     18 - 0 10 - 0 +3.4 +4.0 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2021 17   @ Kansas L 58-71 63%     18 - 1 10 - 1 +3.6 +2.7 -0.7
  Mar 02, 2021 26   @ West Virginia W 94-89 OT 65%     19 - 1 11 - 1 +21.0 +19.9 +0.8
  Mar 04, 2021 28   Oklahoma St. W 81-70 79%     20 - 1 12 - 1 +22.8 +16.2 +6.7
  Mar 07, 2021 22   Texas Tech W 88-73 76%     21 - 1 13 - 1 +27.5 +30.4 -1.3
  Mar 11, 2021 137   Kansas St. W 74-68 95%     22 - 1 +7.9 +7.1 +0.9
  Mar 12, 2021 28   Oklahoma St. L 74-83 73%     22 - 2 +4.7 +4.1 +1.1
Projected Record 22 - 2 13 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.6 22.4 0.1 100.0%
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.6 22.4 0.1 100.0%