Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.8#2
Expected Predictive Rating+20.4#4
Pace74.0#72
Improvement+3.9#31

Offense
Total Offense+11.4#7
First Shot+8.9#8
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#34
Layup/Dunks+7.5#5
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#251
Freethrows+2.3#31
Improvement+0.7#134

Defense
Total Defense+9.4#7
First Shot+7.4#11
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#41
Layups/Dunks+6.7#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#10
Freethrows+1.7#57
Improvement+3.2#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 16.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 74.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen76.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight57.6% n/a n/a
Final Four38.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game21.2% n/a n/a
National Champion9.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a7 - 37 - 3
Quad 1b5 - 212 - 5
Quad 25 - 117 - 6
Quad 34 - 021 - 6
Quad 42 - 023 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 299   N.C. A&T W 122-60 99%     1 - 0 +51.4 +28.6 +14.2
  Nov 26, 2020 346   Chicago St. W 97-38 99.9%    2 - 0 +33.4 +10.9 +19.7
  Nov 27, 2020 83   Ohio W 77-75 92%     3 - 0 +7.4 -0.1 +7.4
  Dec 02, 2020 3   Baylor L 69-82 53%     3 - 1 +7.1 +3.7 +3.0
  Dec 08, 2020 35   @ Duke W 83-68 74%     4 - 1 +29.2 +9.1 +19.0
  Dec 12, 2020 52   @ Missouri L 78-81 80%     4 - 2 +9.0 +4.8 +4.5
  Dec 15, 2020 63   Minnesota W 92-65 89%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +34.1 +10.6 +19.8
  Dec 20, 2020 36   @ Rutgers L 88-91 74%     5 - 3 1 - 1 +11.1 +20.1 -8.9
  Dec 23, 2020 39   @ Penn St. W 98-81 76%     6 - 3 2 - 1 +30.4 +27.8 +2.1
  Dec 26, 2020 44   Indiana W 69-60 87%     7 - 3 3 - 1 +17.8 +4.9 +13.5
  Jan 02, 2021 14   Purdue W 66-58 77%     8 - 3 4 - 1 +21.0 +0.4 +20.7
  Jan 07, 2021 74   @ Northwestern W 81-56 85%     9 - 3 5 - 1 +34.8 +15.7 +19.2
  Jan 10, 2021 37   Maryland L 63-66 84%     9 - 4 5 - 2 +7.3 +2.8 +4.2
  Jan 16, 2021 8   Ohio St. L 81-87 72%     9 - 5 5 - 3 +8.9 +9.7 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2021 39   Penn St. W 79-65 85%     10 - 5 6 - 3 +23.6 +5.1 +17.7
  Jan 29, 2021 5   Iowa W 80-75 63%     11 - 5 7 - 3 +22.5 +11.4 +11.0
  Feb 02, 2021 44   @ Indiana W 75-71 OT 78%     12 - 5 8 - 3 +16.6 +6.3 +10.2
  Feb 06, 2021 18   Wisconsin W 75-60 78%     13 - 5 9 - 3 +27.8 +7.0 +20.3
  Feb 12, 2021 101   @ Nebraska W 77-72 OT 89%     14 - 5 10 - 3 +12.1 +6.5 +5.4
  Feb 16, 2021 74   Northwestern W 73-66 91%     15 - 5 11 - 3 +13.0 +4.3 +8.5
  Feb 20, 2021 63   @ Minnesota W 94-63 83%     16 - 5 12 - 3 +41.9 +22.4 +18.0
  Feb 23, 2021 54   @ Michigan St. L 72-81 80%     16 - 6 12 - 4 +2.7 +6.8 -4.1
  Feb 25, 2021 101   Nebraska W 86-70 94%     17 - 6 13 - 4 +19.3 +6.9 +10.4
  Feb 27, 2021 18   @ Wisconsin W 74-69 66%     18 - 6 14 - 4 +21.6 +6.6 +14.7
  Mar 02, 2021 4   @ Michigan W 76-53 47%     19 - 6 15 - 4 +44.7 +14.4 +30.8
  Mar 06, 2021 8   @ Ohio St. W 73-68 58%     20 - 6 16 - 4 +23.7 +11.5 +12.7
  Mar 12, 2021 36   Rutgers W 90-68 79%     21 - 6 +34.2 +21.1 +12.1
  Mar 13, 2021 5   Iowa W 82-71 56%     22 - 6 +30.4 +8.3 +21.3
  Mar 14, 2021 8   Ohio St. W 91-88 OT 65%     23 - 6 +19.8 +13.5 +6.1
Projected Record 23 - 6 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 74.1 25.9 0.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.3 74.1 25.9 0.0