Pre-tourney Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#20
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#30
Pace60.9#334
Improvement+1.4#116

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#73
First Shot+7.3#14
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#323
Layup/Dunks+6.0#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#103
Freethrows+0.5#141
Improvement-1.5#262

Defense
Total Defense+10.0#3
First Shot+8.7#5
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#76
Layups/Dunks+4.0#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#18
Freethrows+3.3#7
Improvement+2.9#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 4.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 43.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen26.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.5% n/a n/a
Final Four4.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 2
Quad 24 - 26 - 4
Quad 34 - 010 - 4
Quad 412 - 022 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 09, 2020 346   Chicago St. W 88-51 99.8%    1 - 0 +11.4 +6.4 +5.0
  Dec 13, 2020 290   @ Illinois-Chicago W 77-66 96%     2 - 0 +4.5 +6.5 -1.6
  Dec 15, 2020 18   @ Wisconsin L 63-77 42%     2 - 1 +2.6 +1.4 +0.6
  Dec 18, 2020 70   Richmond L 73-75 73%     2 - 2 +6.2 +1.2 +5.1
  Dec 27, 2020 202   Illinois St. W 90-60 95%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +25.2 +16.8 +8.7
  Dec 28, 2020 202   Illinois St. W 86-55 95%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +26.2 +18.6 +9.9
  Jan 02, 2021 77   North Texas W 57-49 80%     5 - 2 +13.8 -4.6 +19.4
  Jan 10, 2021 118   @ Indiana St. L 71-76 81%     5 - 3 2 - 1 +0.3 +1.9 -1.6
  Jan 11, 2021 118   @ Indiana St. W 58-48 81%     6 - 3 3 - 1 +15.3 +3.9 +13.8
  Jan 16, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 72-57 92%     7 - 3 4 - 1 +13.7 +8.3 +7.5
  Jan 17, 2021 156   Northern Iowa W 88-46 92%     8 - 3 5 - 1 +40.7 +18.5 +24.3
  Jan 20, 2021 187   @ Valparaiso W 75-39 90%     9 - 3 6 - 1 +36.2 +10.1 +28.6
  Jan 24, 2021 150   @ Bradley W 69-56 86%     10 - 3 7 - 1 +15.8 +0.4 +16.0
  Jan 25, 2021 150   @ Bradley W 65-58 86%     11 - 3 8 - 1 +9.8 -3.6 +13.8
  Jan 31, 2021 91   @ Missouri St. W 72-46 74%     12 - 3 9 - 1 +33.7 +5.6 +29.3
  Feb 01, 2021 91   @ Missouri St. W 70-50 74%     13 - 3 10 - 1 +27.7 +13.4 +18.0
  Feb 06, 2021 201   Evansville W 68-55 95%     14 - 3 11 - 1 +8.2 +5.2 +6.1
  Feb 07, 2021 201   Evansville W 69-58 95%     15 - 3 12 - 1 +6.2 -2.3 +9.6
  Feb 13, 2021 65   @ Drake W 81-54 65%     16 - 3 13 - 1 +37.4 +22.7 +18.9
  Feb 14, 2021 65   @ Drake L 50-51 OT 65%     16 - 4 13 - 2 +9.4 -16.0 +25.3
  Feb 17, 2021 187   Valparaiso W 54-52 94%     17 - 4 14 - 2 -1.6 -4.3 +3.2
  Feb 26, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 60-52 94%     18 - 4 15 - 2 +4.4 -7.1 +12.4
  Feb 27, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 65-58 OT 94%     19 - 4 16 - 2 +3.4 -3.9 +7.8
  Mar 05, 2021 188   Southern Illinois W 73-49 93%     20 - 4 +22.3 +5.3 +18.7
  Mar 06, 2021 118   Indiana St. W 65-49 85%     21 - 4 +19.4 +9.3 +13.5
  Mar 07, 2021 65   Drake W 75-65 72%     22 - 4 +18.5 +15.1 +5.1
Projected Record 22 - 4 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.9 3.7 13.8 24.6 25.8 19.1 10.4 1.6 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.8 0.0 0.9 3.7 13.8 24.6 25.8 19.1 10.4 1.6 0.0