Pre-tourney Rankings
North Texas
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#77
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#85
Pace60.0#338
Improvement+2.1#83

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#113
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks+1.4#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement+1.7#83

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#48
First Shot+4.5#49
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#105
Layups/Dunks+4.9#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#92
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+0.5#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 23 - 23 - 5
Quad 34 - 47 - 9
Quad 49 - 016 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 347   Mississippi Valley W 116-62 99.8%    1 - 0 +21.4 +9.7 +3.1
  Nov 28, 2020 12   @ Arkansas L 54-69 19%     1 - 1 +2.0 -10.1 +12.3
  Dec 04, 2020 71   @ Mississippi St. L 63-69 41%     1 - 2 +4.0 +3.7 -0.4
  Dec 11, 2020 26   @ West Virginia L 50-62 21%     1 - 3 +4.0 -12.4 +15.2
  Dec 15, 2020 342   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-56 98%     2 - 3 +6.1 +0.7 +6.0
  Dec 17, 2020 338   Houston Baptist W 85-55 98%     3 - 3 +13.7 +3.5 +10.1
  Jan 02, 2021 20   @ Loyola Chicago L 49-57 20%     3 - 4 +8.4 -6.9 +14.4
  Jan 08, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio W 77-70 68%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +9.9 +7.0 +3.2
  Jan 09, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio L 69-77 68%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -5.1 -2.9 -2.5
  Jan 15, 2021 138   UTEP W 63-33 77%     5 - 5 2 - 1 +29.9 -5.5 +37.3
  Jan 16, 2021 138   UTEP W 74-65 77%     6 - 5 3 - 1 +8.9 +12.8 -2.6
  Jan 29, 2021 186   @ Rice W 79-74 76%     7 - 5 4 - 1 +5.2 +3.6 +1.5
  Jan 31, 2021 186   Rice W 79-53 85%     8 - 5 5 - 1 +22.4 +12.4 +13.2
  Feb 05, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech L 63-68 58%     8 - 6 5 - 2 +0.7 +3.9 -3.9
  Feb 06, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech W 57-55 58%     9 - 6 6 - 2 +7.7 -6.6 +14.4
  Feb 12, 2021 240   @ Southern Miss W 65-49 84%     10 - 6 7 - 2 +12.9 +1.0 +13.5
  Feb 13, 2021 240   @ Southern Miss W 68-56 84%     11 - 6 8 - 2 +8.9 +4.9 +5.3
  Feb 26, 2021 90   @ Marshall W 77-65 50%     12 - 6 9 - 2 +19.7 +5.8 +13.9
  Feb 27, 2021 90   @ Marshall L 72-73 50%     12 - 7 9 - 3 +6.7 +1.7 +5.0
  Mar 05, 2021 93   UAB L 51-65 65%     12 - 8 9 - 4 -10.3 -13.3 +1.7
  Mar 06, 2021 93   UAB L 61-65 65%     12 - 9 9 - 5 -0.3 +5.3 -6.4
  Mar 10, 2021 292   Middle Tennessee W 76-56 93%     13 - 9 +11.4 +11.3 +2.7
  Mar 11, 2021 140   Old Dominion W 61-55 73%     14 - 9 +7.2 +2.5 +6.0
  Mar 12, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech W 54-48 50%     15 - 9 +13.6 -3.4 +18.0
  Mar 13, 2021 88   Western Kentucky W 61-57 OT 55%     16 - 9 +10.3 -2.5 +13.2
Projected Record 16 - 9 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 0.3 20.3 72.9 6.5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.3 20.3 72.9 6.5