Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#285
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#279
Pace67.4#219
Improvement+0.7#150

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#186
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#113
Layup/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#14
Freethrows-2.5#318
Improvement+0.3#165

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#337
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#346
Layups/Dunks-3.2#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#42
Freethrows-1.2#265
Improvement+0.4#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 47 - 77 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 173   Eastern Kentucky L 67-80 22%     0 - 1 -13.2 -11.2 -1.0
  Nov 27, 2020 72   @ North Carolina St. L 51-86 6%     0 - 2 -25.1 -11.7 -17.7
  Nov 29, 2020 121   @ Miami (FL) L 59-77 11%     0 - 3 -12.9 -16.3 +5.1
  Dec 02, 2020 13   @ Florida St. L 58-86 2%     0 - 4 -11.1 -10.6 +0.4
  Dec 05, 2020 286   @ High Point L 74-85 43%     0 - 5 -17.4 -4.3 -12.6
  Dec 07, 2020 163   Florida Atlantic L 77-79 26%     0 - 6 -3.6 +3.8 -7.5
  Dec 10, 2020 170   @ East Carolina L 67-73 17%     0 - 7 -4.2 -1.5 -2.8
  Dec 12, 2020 295   Florida International W 80-77 59%     1 - 7 -7.5 +1.6 -9.2
  Jan 08, 2021 288   @ Jacksonville L 65-66 43%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -7.4 -7.2 -0.2
  Jan 09, 2021 288   @ Jacksonville W 70-68 43%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -4.4 +0.6 -4.9
  Jan 15, 2021 233   @ Lipscomb L 72-84 30%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -14.9 +2.0 -17.8
  Jan 16, 2021 233   @ Lipscomb W 72-67 30%     3 - 9 2 - 2 +2.1 +4.9 -2.2
  Jan 22, 2021 326   Kennesaw St. W 69-54 71%     4 - 9 3 - 2 +0.9 -3.6 +5.3
  Jan 23, 2021 326   Kennesaw St. W 68-65 71%     5 - 9 4 - 2 -11.1 -10.6 -0.5
  Jan 29, 2021 277   North Alabama L 78-82 55%     5 - 10 4 - 3 -13.6 -2.1 -11.3
  Jan 30, 2021 277   North Alabama W 82-72 55%     6 - 10 5 - 3 +0.4 +14.0 -12.5
  Feb 12, 2021 113   @ Liberty L 61-73 10%     6 - 11 5 - 4 -6.2 -2.6 -5.2
  Feb 13, 2021 113   @ Liberty L 60-80 10%     6 - 12 5 - 5 -14.2 -0.8 -17.1
  Feb 26, 2021 245   @ Stetson W 79-74 32%     7 - 12 6 - 5 +1.6 +1.8 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2021 245   @ Stetson L 68-85 32%     7 - 13 6 - 6 -20.4 -2.8 -19.1
  Mar 04, 2021 277   North Alabama L 60-68 48%     7 - 14 -15.7 -14.8 -1.0
Projected Record 7 - 14 6 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6 100.0% 100.0
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%