Pre-tourney Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#170
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#180
Pace68.9#180
Improvement-3.6#308

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#240
First Shot-1.7#229
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#224
Layup/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#325
Freethrows+0.8#120
Improvement-1.0#228

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#103
First Shot+0.8#135
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#64
Layups/Dunks+0.7#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#244
Freethrows-2.2#305
Improvement-2.6#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 44 - 17 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 221   @ Charlotte W 66-57 58%     1 - 0 +6.7 -3.2 +10.5
  Dec 05, 2020 244   Radford W 63-50 75%     2 - 0 +5.8 -3.4 +11.1
  Dec 07, 2020 252   UNC Wilmington W 88-78 OT 77%     3 - 0 +2.3 -3.1 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2020 285   North Florida W 73-67 83%     4 - 0 -4.1 -7.3 +3.4
  Dec 16, 2020 57   @ SMU L 55-70 14%     4 - 1 0 - 1 -3.6 -10.2 +6.1
  Dec 19, 2020 151   James Madison W 73-64 54%     5 - 1 +7.9 -2.4 +10.1
  Dec 22, 2020 143   Tulane W 68-58 53%     6 - 1 1 - 1 +9.2 +0.1 +9.5
  Jan 02, 2021 143   @ Tulane L 56-60 38%     6 - 2 1 - 2 -1.0 -12.4 +11.3
  Jan 09, 2021 165   South Florida L 63-69 56%     6 - 3 1 - 3 -7.7 -9.8 +2.1
  Jan 24, 2021 32   Memphis L 53-80 16%     6 - 4 1 - 4 -16.4 -12.7 -2.4
  Jan 27, 2021 99   @ Central Florida L 64-71 24%     6 - 5 1 - 5 +0.2 -2.6 +2.5
  Jan 30, 2021 117   Tulsa L 68-77 44%     6 - 6 1 - 6 -7.5 -1.6 -6.1
  Feb 03, 2021 6   Houston W 82-73 6%     7 - 6 2 - 6 +26.1 +18.0 +8.3
  Feb 06, 2021 32   @ Memphis L 59-66 9%     7 - 7 2 - 7 +7.4 -1.0 +8.3
  Feb 08, 2021 57   SMU L 56-71 23%     7 - 8 2 - 8 -7.4 -13.0 +5.7
  Mar 04, 2021 99   Central Florida L 60-64 37%     7 - 9 2 - 9 -0.6 -11.7 +11.1
  Mar 07, 2021 110   Cincinnati L 69-82 40%     7 - 10 2 - 10 -10.5 -0.2 -10.5
  Mar 11, 2021 99   Central Florida L 62-72 30%     7 - 11 -4.7 -5.2 +0.0
Projected Record 7 - 11 2 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10 100.0% 100.0
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%