Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#241
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#245
Pace70.6#141
Improvement-1.3#234

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#206
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#310
Layup/Dunks+1.4#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#118
Freethrows-1.5#278
Improvement+0.6#143

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#282
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#341
Layups/Dunks-4.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#24
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement-1.9#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 20 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 22 - 4
Quad 48 - 610 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 252   UNC Wilmington L 68-76 60%     0 - 1 -15.7 -14.4 -1.0
  Nov 28, 2020 238   Western Carolina L 81-83 OT 57%     0 - 2 -8.9 -7.0 -1.6
  Dec 05, 2020 343   South Carolina St. W 77-56 91%     1 - 2 +1.2 -8.4 +8.4
  Dec 12, 2020 286   High Point W 80-67 69%     2 - 2 1 - 0 +2.9 -1.5 +3.7
  Dec 13, 2020 286   High Point W 90-84 OT 69%     3 - 2 2 - 0 -4.1 +1.9 -6.7
  Dec 16, 2020 164   @ Chattanooga L 66-69 24%     3 - 3 -0.9 -3.6 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2020 90   @ Marshall L 67-88 12%     3 - 4 -13.3 -8.9 -2.8
  Dec 30, 2020 249   @ Longwood W 80-73 45%     4 - 4 3 - 0 +3.2 +9.3 -5.8
  Dec 31, 2020 249   @ Longwood L 55-65 45%     4 - 5 3 - 1 -13.8 -16.6 +2.3
  Jan 09, 2021 319   @ Hampton L 71-73 66%     4 - 6 3 - 2 -11.4 -12.6 +1.3
  Jan 10, 2021 319   @ Hampton W 85-77 66%     5 - 6 4 - 2 -1.4 +1.9 -3.8
  Jan 14, 2021 330   Charleston Southern W 92-54 82%     6 - 6 5 - 2 +23.1 +12.5 +10.2
  Jan 15, 2021 330   Charleston Southern W 83-75 82%     7 - 6 6 - 2 -6.9 -1.2 -6.3
  Jan 19, 2021 198   @ Gardner-Webb W 79-75 33%     8 - 6 7 - 2 +3.3 +8.5 -5.0
  Jan 20, 2021 198   @ Gardner-Webb L 57-84 33%     8 - 7 7 - 3 -27.7 -12.4 -18.2
  Jan 24, 2021 244   Radford W 76-68 OT 58%     9 - 7 8 - 3 +0.8 -3.1 +3.6
  Jan 25, 2021 244   Radford L 63-73 58%     9 - 8 8 - 4 -17.2 -8.5 -9.3
  Jan 28, 2021 102   @ Winthrop L 80-84 13%     9 - 9 8 - 5 +3.1 +8.2 -5.0
  Jan 29, 2021 102   @ Winthrop W 57-55 13%     10 - 9 9 - 5 +9.1 -2.2 +11.5
  Mar 01, 2021 249   Longwood L 61-77 60%     10 - 10 -23.6 -11.6 -12.8
Projected Record 10 - 10 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Big South Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 100.0
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%