Preseason Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
244 Norfolk St. 28.9%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 7 12 - 5 -5.1      -4.6 298 -0.5 183 67.4 226 0.0 1 0.0 1
293 NC Central 15.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 9 5 - 4 -7.6      -4.8 302 -2.7 252 65.3 267 0.0 1 0.0 1
309 N.C. A&T 13.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 12 8 - 5 -8.8      -5.3 313 -3.6 278 80.1 12 0.0 1 0.0 1
318 Florida A&M 10.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 12 6 - 6 -10.4      -6.3 324 -4.1 296 69.9 142 0.0 1 0.0 1
323 Morgan St. 8.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 11 8 - 7 -11.3      -6.3 325 -5.0 307 71.8 94 0.0 1 0.0 1
326 Howard 7.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 9 - 8 -11.8      -2.8 254 -9.0 343 72.8 76 0.0 1 0.0 1
327 Coppin St. 5.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 6 - 14 4 - 6 -11.8      -7.8 335 -4.0 292 80.2 11 0.0 1 0.0 1
330 Maryland Eastern Shore 5.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 6 3 - 6 -12.4      -18.5 348 +6.0 27 67.7 217 0.0 1 0.0 1
346 Delaware St. 0.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 11 2 - 8 -18.6      -7.2 331 -11.3 346 81.8 6 0.0 1 0.0 1
347 South Carolina St. 0.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 2 - 13 2 - 6 -18.8      -8.3 337 -10.5 345 66.5 242 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Norfolk St. 1.5 67.7 15.8 6.0 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
NC Central 5.5 0.2 4.8 11.6 15.4 18.9 18.4 14.9 9.6 4.7 1.5
N.C. A&T 3.7 6.7 23.8 24.0 16.1 12.6 7.9 4.4 2.4 1.5 0.7
Florida A&M 4.6 1.9 13.4 18.6 18.8 17.5 12.2 8.1 5.1 3.0 1.6
Morgan St. 3.6 12.2 23.5 19.4 16.3 10.7 7.1 4.6 3.1 2.3 0.8
Howard 3.3 18.8 27.2 17.6 13.4 8.4 5.3 3.5 2.6 2.2 0.8
Coppin St. 6.1 0.6 3.2 6.4 11.0 14.2 19.9 19.1 14.2 8.2 3.1
Maryland Eastern Shore 7.0 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.6 9.5 16.5 19.6 22.0 15.1 7.5
Delaware St. 8.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.9 4.9 9.1 13.7 20.6 27.0 19.9
South Carolina St. 8.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.3 6.9 9.9 17.2 27.5 33.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Norfolk St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.5 4.1 5.8 8.3 10.4 12.4 13.8 14.0 12.5 9.0
NC Central 5 - 11 1.0 3.8 7.4 11.5 15.8 16.8 16.7 13.7 9.1 4.1
N.C. A&T 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 5.9 8.9 11.8 13.1 15.3 13.8 11.5 8.2 4.3 1.5
Florida A&M 6 - 10 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.6 10.3 12.7 14.7 15.4 13.5 10.2 6.4 3.4 1.1
Morgan St. 8 - 8 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.9 6.3 9.0 10.3 11.7 13.0 13.1 10.6 8.5 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.4
Howard 9 - 7 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.7 4.8 7.2 8.8 10.5 11.2 12.0 10.7 9.5 7.8 5.7 3.7 1.8 0.7
Coppin St. 4 - 12 2.4 7.1 11.7 15.4 17.7 15.9 13.4 8.7 5.1 2.1 0.5
Maryland Eastern Shore 3 - 13 6.2 12.8 17.5 18.6 16.9 12.5 8.6 4.4 2.0 0.6
Delaware St. 2 - 14 15.4 21.9 21.2 16.3 11.0 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.0
South Carolina St. 2 - 14 22.7 26.3 21.8 14.4 7.8 4.3 1.7 0.7 0.2




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Norfolk St. 67.7% 59.3 7.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
NC Central 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
N.C. A&T 6.7% 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida A&M 1.9% 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morgan St. 12.2% 7.9 3.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Howard 18.8% 13.2 4.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Coppin St. 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Delaware St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Norfolk St. 31.5% 31.5% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 5.0 23.7 68.5 0.0%
NC Central 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 13.0 84.3 0.0%
N.C. A&T 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 13.1 86.3 0.0%
Florida A&M 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.0 89.9 0.0%
Morgan St. 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.1 91.4 0.0%
Howard 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 7.6 92.1 0.0%
Coppin St. 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.6 94.1 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.8 94.7 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7 99.3 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Norfolk St. 31.5% 18.7% 21.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 15.7% 10.6% 9.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 13.7% 12.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 10.1% 9.5% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 8.6% 7.4% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 7.9% 7.2% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 5.9% 5.1% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 5.3% 2.9% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.4% 0.6 42.6 57.4
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0