IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.8	#326
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.8	#76
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#254

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-9.0	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.8%	12.2%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.1	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	31.5%	57.8%	29.6%
.500 or above in Conference	63.1%	78.6%	62.0%
Conference Champion	18.9%	31.9%	18.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.9%	2.0%

First Four	7.2%	9.8%	7.0%
First Round	3.5%	7.5%	3.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Neutral) - 6.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 4	11 - 11	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 26, 2020	114	Belmont	L	73-89	7%
Nov 27, 2020	163	Northeastern	L	69-81	15%
Nov 28, 2020	123	George Mason	L	68-83	9%
Dec 02, 2020	157	La Salle	L	73-82	21%
Dec 06, 2020	292	Bellarmine	L	67-68	45%
Dec 08, 2020	215	Elon	L	73-78	33%
Dec 18, 2020	321	Hampton	W	84-82	56%
Dec 22, 2020	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	66-75	21%
Jan 02, 2021	346	@ Delaware St.	W	88-84	63%
Jan 04, 2021	244	Norfolk St.	L	72-76	37%
Jan 09, 2021	327	@ Coppin St.	L	80-83	39%
Jan 11, 2021	323	Morgan St.	W	80-77	58%
Jan 16, 2021	330	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	66-62	62%
Jan 18, 2021	70	Notre Dame	L	70-87	8%
Jan 20, 2021	346	Delaware St.	W	91-81	80%
Jan 25, 2021	330	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	63-65	42%
Jan 30, 2021	323	@ Morgan St.	L	77-80	38%
Feb 02, 2021	293	NC Central	L	74-75	46%
Feb 06, 2021	327	@ Coppin St.	L	80-83	41%
Feb 08, 2021	323	@ Morgan St.	L	77-80	39%
Feb 10, 2021	346	Delaware St.	W	91-81	79%
Feb 13, 2021	244	@ Norfolk St.	L	69-79	21%
Feb 15, 2021	327	Coppin St.	W	83-80	59%
Feb 22, 2021	330	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	66-62	62%
Feb 24, 2021	346	@ Delaware St.	W	88-84	62%
Mar 01, 2021	244	Norfolk St.	L	72-76	38%
Projected Record						11 - 15	9 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.8	3.9	4.2	3.3	1.8	0.7		18.8	1st
2nd							0.1	0.4	2.5	5.6	6.7	6.1	3.9	1.5	0.4	0.0			27.2	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.8	3.4	5.3	5.0	2.4	0.6	0.1						17.6	3rd
4th					0.0	0.6	3.4	5.3	3.1	0.8	0.1	0.0							13.4	4th
5th				0.0	0.4	2.8	3.7	1.3	0.2	0.0									8.4	5th
6th				0.2	1.5	2.7	0.9	0.0											5.3	6th
7th			0.0	0.7	1.8	0.9	0.1												3.5	7th
8th		0.0	0.4	1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0												2.6	8th
9th	0.0	0.4	1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0													2.2	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1															0.8	10th

Total	0.2	0.7	1.7	2.7	4.8	7.2	8.8	10.5	11.2	12.0	10.7	9.5	7.8	5.7	3.7	1.8	0.7			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
15-1	99.0%	1.8		1.6	0.1
14-2	90.3%	3.3		2.8	0.5
13-3	73.7%	4.2		3.4	0.8	0.0
12-4	49.1%	3.9		2.6	1.2	0.1
11-5	29.4%	2.8		1.4	1.2	0.2	0.0
10-6	13.3%	1.4		0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0
9-7	4.9%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0

Total	18.8%	18.8		13.2	4.8	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.7%		35.1%	35.1%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5
15-1	1.8%		38.9%	38.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1
14-2	3.7%		24.3%	24.3%		15.9																0.1	0.8	2.8
13-3	5.7%		19.2%	19.2%		16.0																0.0	1.1	4.6
12-4	7.8%		15.9%	15.9%		16.0																0.0	1.2	6.6
11-5	9.5%		10.4%	10.4%		16.0																0.0	1.0	8.5
10-6	10.7%		9.0%	9.0%		16.0																	1.0	9.7
9-7	12.0%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																0.0	0.7	11.3
8-8	11.2%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.5	10.7
7-9	10.5%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.3	10.3
6-10	8.8%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	8.6
5-11	7.2%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
4-12	4.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
3-13	2.7%																							2.7
2-14	1.7%																							1.7
1-15	0.7%																							0.7
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		7.8%	7.8%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.2	7.6	92.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%