Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
212 Robert Morris 0.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 12 0 - 1 -3.4      -3.2 266 -0.2 176 64.7 286 0.0 1 0.0 1
233 Fairleigh Dickinson 17.4%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 7 7 - 5 -4.6      +0.6 151 -5.2 312 69.1 169 0.0 1 0.0 1
239 St. Francis (PA) 19.7%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 12 11 - 8 -4.7      0.0 172 -4.7 303 69.9 146 0.0 1 0.0 1
257 Mount St. Mary's 15.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 12 10 - 8 -5.8      -3.8 281 -2.0 230 59.6 341 0.0 1 0.0 1
260 LIU Brooklyn 13.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 5 7 - 5 -5.9      -2.2 238 -3.7 281 78.6 22 0.0 1 0.0 1
290 Merrimack 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 10 9 - 9 -7.3      -7.8 336 +0.5 157 59.8 339 0.0 1 0.0 1
294 Bryant 8.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 8 6 - 6 -7.6      -3.5 273 -4.0 293 73.3 68 0.0 1 0.0 1
310 St. Francis Brooklyn 7.9%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 12 8 - 10 -9.0      -5.4 314 -3.6 280 72.8 77 0.0 1 0.0 1
311 Sacred Heart 6.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 9 5 - 7 -9.1      -4.3 293 -4.8 304 70.4 130 0.0 1 0.0 1
313 Wagner 7.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 8 - 11 8 - 10 -9.2      -4.0 286 -5.2 310 67.8 215 0.0 1 0.0 1
332 Central Connecticut St. 2.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 16 6 - 12 -12.7      -5.8 318 -7.0 331 71.7 99 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Robert Morris 10.9 0.0 0.2 10.7 89.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 5.2 3.5 8.6 14.1 15.6 15.4 14.4 11.7 8.1 5.7 2.8 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 2.7 40.8 20.0 12.1 8.3 5.3 4.1 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 3.4 26.6 21.2 14.7 9.7 8.0 5.9 5.1 3.7 3.0 2.1 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 5.6 2.8 7.0 11.6 13.7 14.4 13.9 13.0 10.9 8.1 4.5 0.0
Merrimack 4.2 17.9 17.2 14.3 11.2 9.1 7.9 6.6 6.3 5.2 4.2 0.1
Bryant 6.2 1.6 4.6 7.6 11.2 13.2 14.6 14.3 14.0 11.5 7.1 0.2
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.9 11.2 13.2 13.0 12.5 10.3 9.2 8.4 8.2 7.4 6.4 0.1
Sacred Heart 7.5 0.7 2.0 3.6 5.5 7.5 9.7 12.5 16.5 20.3 21.0 0.7
Wagner 5.1 11.4 12.5 12.3 10.8 9.5 9.5 8.2 8.9 8.3 8.4 0.2
Central Connecticut St. 6.8 2.9 4.9 7.0 8.0 8.7 10.3 10.7 12.8 15.3 18.7 0.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Robert Morris 0 - 18 56.0 44.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 7 - 11 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.0 5.7 8.9 12.9 15.7 16.5 15.2 11.5 6.6 2.1
St. Francis (PA) 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.6 3.5 5.1 6.9 8.7 9.8 10.7 11.1 10.6 9.5 7.9 5.8 3.3 1.7
Mount St. Mary's 10 - 8 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.3 3.7 5.8 7.5 8.9 10.2 11.5 11.7 10.6 8.8 7.2 4.8 2.9 1.4 0.4
LIU Brooklyn 7 - 11 0.1 1.0 2.2 4.5 7.3 11.4 13.7 15.3 15.1 12.9 9.6 5.0 1.9
Merrimack 9 - 9 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 4.5 6.2 7.8 9.3 10.8 10.7 10.8 9.6 7.8 6.9 5.0 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2
Bryant 6 - 12 0.3 1.4 3.8 6.2 10.2 13.8 15.2 16.1 13.2 10.1 6.1 2.8 0.8
St. Francis Brooklyn 8 - 10 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.1 6.1 8.2 10.0 11.0 11.7 11.2 9.5 8.1 6.3 4.4 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
Sacred Heart 5 - 13 1.8 5.3 9.3 12.7 15.3 15.9 13.2 10.5 7.7 4.7 2.4 1.1 0.2
Wagner 8 - 10 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.3 6.9 8.7 10.0 11.1 10.4 9.7 9.0 7.6 6.0 4.3 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 6 - 12 1.4 4.3 7.0 10.9 12.7 12.7 12.4 10.6 9.0 6.8 5.2 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Robert Morris
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.5% 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 40.8% 31.8 7.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Mount St. Mary's 26.6% 19.2 5.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 2.8% 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 17.9% 12.4 4.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Bryant 1.6% 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 11.2% 7.4 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 0.7% 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Wagner 11.4% 7.5 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.9% 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 4.7 9.6 82.6 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.3 11.0 79.9 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 10.3 84.3 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.7 6.6 86.3 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bryant 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 6.0 91.1 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 5.9 92.1 0.0%
Sacred Heart 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.8 93.8 0.0%
Wagner 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 5.2 92.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.6 97.2 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.4% 6.4% 14.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 20.1% 7.1% 16.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mount St. Mary's 15.7% 7.3% 12.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 13.7% 4.2% 11.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryant 8.9% 4.3% 6.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 7.9% 4.7% 5.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 6.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 7.3% 4.2% 4.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 76.1% 0.8 23.9 76.0 0.1
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0