IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bryant
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#294
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.3	#68
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#293

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.9%	11.4%	6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	52.2%	67.8%	37.8%
.500 or above in Conference	19.8%	24.9%	15.0%
Conference Champion	1.6%	2.2%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.5%	1.2%

First Four	4.3%	4.6%	4.0%
First Round	6.4%	8.8%	4.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 3	1 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 4	8 - 6	8 - 8

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	224	Stony Brook	L	73-74	48%
Dec 08, 2020	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	75-77	44%
Dec 09, 2020	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	75-77	44%
Dec 12, 2020	224	@ Stony Brook	L	70-76	28%
Dec 15, 2020	290	Merrimack	W	67-64	60%
Dec 23, 2020	264	@ Albany	L	72-76	34%
Jan 07, 2021	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	81-73	76%
Jan 08, 2021	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	81-73	76%
Jan 14, 2021	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	75-81	30%
Jan 15, 2021	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	75-81	31%
Jan 21, 2021	313	Wagner	W	77-72	66%
Jan 22, 2021	313	Wagner	W	77-72	64%
Feb 04, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-68	54%
Feb 05, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-68	54%
Feb 20, 2021	290	@ Merrimack	L	64-67	40%
Projected Record						7 - 8	6 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5								1.6	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	2.1	1.5	0.3								4.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.6	2.7	0.5	0.0								7.6	3rd
4th							0.1	1.2	4.7	4.4	0.9	0.0									11.2	4th
5th						0.1	1.1	5.1	5.5	1.4	0.0	0.0									13.2	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	4.6	6.7	2.0	0.1											14.6	6th
7th				0.0	0.9	4.2	6.2	2.7	0.2												14.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.0	3.7	5.8	2.9	0.3													14.0	8th
9th		0.2	1.2	3.0	4.4	2.4	0.2														11.5	9th
10th	0.1	1.2	2.4	2.2	1.1	0.2															7.1	10th
11th	0.2																				0.2	11th

Total	0.3	1.4	3.8	6.2	10.2	13.8	15.2	16.1	13.2	10.1	6.1	2.8	0.8									Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	63.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
11-7	26.7%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1
10-8	5.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-9	0.2%	0.0						0.0	0.0

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.5	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	0.8%		38.1%	38.1%		13.2										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
11-7	2.8%		31.9%	31.9%		14.6														0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	1.9
10-8	6.1%		22.0%	22.0%		15.1														0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	4.8
9-9	10.1%		17.2%	17.2%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	8.4
8-10	13.2%		12.8%	12.8%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.4	11.5
7-11	16.1%		8.7%	8.7%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.3	14.7
6-12	15.2%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																0.0	0.9	14.2
5-13	13.8%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.5	13.3
4-14	10.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	10.1
3-15	6.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
2-16	3.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		8.9%	8.9%	0.0%	15.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.7	6.0	91.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	11.8									7.7	15.4	15.4	23.1	30.8	7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%
Lose Out	0.2%