Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#322
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.6#153
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#320
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#308
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 6.1% 11.9% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 10.5% 16.3% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 42.7% 32.7% 48.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Neutral) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 45 - 87 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 286   Seattle L 72-76 36%    
  Nov 27, 2020 315   Cal Poly L 72-73 47%    
  Nov 27, 2020 263   @ Portland L 68-76 23%    
  Dec 03, 2020 230   @ Sacramento St. L 60-70 19%    
  Dec 05, 2020 230   @ Sacramento St. L 60-70 20%    
  Dec 09, 2020 129   @ Washington St. L 67-83 7%    
  Dec 14, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-95 0.3%   
  Dec 31, 2020 266   Northern Arizona L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 02, 2021 266   Northern Arizona L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 07, 2021 192   @ Southern Utah L 66-78 15%    
  Jan 09, 2021 192   @ Southern Utah L 66-78 15%    
  Jan 14, 2021 166   Northern Colorado L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 16, 2021 166   Northern Colorado L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 28, 2021 256   Weber St. L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 30, 2021 256   Weber St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 04, 2021 132   Eastern Washington L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 06, 2021 132   @ Eastern Washington L 70-86 9%    
  Feb 11, 2021 299   @ Idaho St. L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 13, 2021 299   @ Idaho St. L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 18, 2021 252   @ Portland St. L 73-82 24%    
  Feb 20, 2021 252   Portland St. L 76-79 42%    
  Feb 25, 2021 209   Montana St. L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 27, 2021 209   Montana St. L 68-73 35%    
  Mar 04, 2021 140   @ Montana L 63-79 10%    
  Mar 06, 2021 140   @ Montana L 63-79 10%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 5 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.1 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 4.0 5.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 14.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.6 6.4 6.3 3.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 21.4 10th
11th 2.5 5.8 8.5 8.3 5.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 32.7 11th
Total 2.5 5.9 9.5 12.1 12.8 12.9 11.4 9.4 7.3 5.8 4.2 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 76.6% 0.0    0.0
16-4 65.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 35.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 76.6% 76.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 56.6% 56.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.3% 18.1% 18.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.5% 10.2% 10.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
12-8 1.8% 1.8
11-9 2.6% 2.6
10-10 4.2% 4.2
9-11 5.8% 5.8
8-12 7.3% 7.3
7-13 9.4% 9.4
6-14 11.4% 11.4
5-15 12.9% 12.9
4-16 12.8% 12.8
3-17 12.1% 12.1
2-18 9.5% 9.5
1-19 5.9% 5.9
0-20 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%