Denver
Summit League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#335
Expected Predictive Rating-22.5#345
Pace74.1#70
Improvement-1.3#261

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#319
First Shot-5.0#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#264
Layup/Dunks-3.0#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#300
Freethrows+1.5#85
Improvement-1.7#292

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#330
First Shot-6.1#329
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#214
Layups/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#137
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#308
Freethrows-1.3#257
Improvement+0.3#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 5.6% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 0.0% 7.8%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 90 - 10
Quad 43 - 103 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 06, 2020 144   UC Riverside L 63-83 11%     0 - 1 -20.2 -5.0 -16.2
  Dec 09, 2020 194   @ Wyoming L 61-83 12%     0 - 2 -22.8 -17.2 -4.9
  Dec 12, 2020 330   Dixie St. L 70-73 54%     0 - 3 -17.5 -11.6 -5.6
  Dec 16, 2020 208   Northern Colorado L 75-83 21%     0 - 4 -13.0 -5.1 -7.2
  Dec 19, 2020 178   Texas St. L 68-70 16%     0 - 5 -5.0 -6.4 +1.5
  Dec 22, 2020 307   Northern Arizona L 65-68 41%     0 - 6 -14.1 -11.8 -2.6
  Jan 02, 2021 173   @ South Dakota L 54-93 10%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -38.3 -20.4 -17.3
  Jan 03, 2021 173   @ South Dakota L 57-79 10%     0 - 8 0 - 2 -21.3 -17.9 -2.9
  Jan 15, 2021 149   Oral Roberts L 72-85 14%    
  Jan 16, 2021 149   Oral Roberts L 72-85 14%    
  Jan 22, 2021 158   @ North Dakota St. L 62-77 6%    
  Jan 23, 2021 158   @ North Dakota St. L 62-77 6%    
  Jan 29, 2021 101   South Dakota St. L 68-84 8%    
  Jan 30, 2021 101   South Dakota St. L 68-84 8%    
  Feb 05, 2021 278   North Dakota L 69-74 39%    
  Feb 06, 2021 278   North Dakota L 69-74 39%    
  Feb 12, 2021 321   @ Western Illinois L 75-79 31%    
  Feb 13, 2021 321   @ Western Illinois L 75-79 31%    
  Feb 19, 2021 235   @ UMKC L 61-71 14%    
  Feb 20, 2021 235   @ UMKC L 61-71 15%    
  Feb 26, 2021 259   Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 34%    
  Feb 27, 2021 259   Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 34%    
Projected Record 3 - 19 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.9 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.5 4.7 11.7 9.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 29.9 8th
9th 6.7 15.8 16.8 8.6 1.7 0.1 49.7 9th
10th 10th
Total 6.7 16.3 21.5 21.0 15.5 9.9 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.4% 0.4
8-8 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
7-9 2.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-10 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-11 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
4-12 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
3-13 21.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.0
2-14 21.5% 21.5
1-15 16.3% 16.3
0-16 6.7% 6.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.7%