Wyoming
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#200
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#173
Pace71.3#140
Improvement-3.3#327

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#128
First Shot+3.3#88
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#257
Layup/Dunks+6.5#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#91
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement-2.2#305

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#298
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#172
Layups/Dunks-6.7#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#91
Freethrows-0.3#188
Improvement-1.2#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 29.0% 42.7% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 3.3% 10.1%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 21 - 8
Quad 33 - 34 - 10
Quad 48 - 412 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 348   Mississippi Valley W 97-61 98%     1 - 0 +6.8 -1.2 +4.2
  Nov 30, 2020 232   Texas Southern L 74-76 63%     1 - 1 -8.3 -3.1 -5.2
  Dec 02, 2020 323   Incarnate Word W 94-83 OT 84%     2 - 1 -2.6 +2.6 -6.4
  Dec 06, 2020 164   @ Oregon St. W 76-73 33%     3 - 1 +4.5 +4.9 -0.2
  Dec 09, 2020 326   Denver W 83-61 85%     4 - 1 +8.0 -0.6 +7.8
  Dec 12, 2020 242   @ Utah Valley W 93-88 51%     5 - 1 +1.8 +14.1 -12.5
  Dec 17, 2020 260   Nebraska Omaha W 82-78 68%     6 - 1 -3.8 -1.0 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2021 173   @ Fresno St. W 78-74 37%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +4.5 +3.3 +1.1
  Jan 04, 2021 173   @ Fresno St. L 61-81 37%     7 - 2 1 - 1 -19.5 -5.5 -16.0
  Jan 11, 2021 44   Boise St. L 60-83 13%     7 - 3 1 - 2 -13.6 -4.9 -10.2
  Jan 13, 2021 44   Boise St. L 70-90 13%     7 - 4 1 - 3 -10.6 -2.5 -7.1
  Jan 16, 2021 246   @ Air Force L 69-72 53%     7 - 5 1 - 4 -6.5 +1.3 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2021 246   @ Air Force W 70-69 48%    
  Jan 22, 2021 103   Nevada L 75-81 34%    
  Jan 24, 2021 103   Nevada L 75-81 34%    
  Jan 28, 2021 45   @ San Diego St. L 61-77 5%    
  Jan 30, 2021 45   @ San Diego St. L 61-77 6%    
  Feb 04, 2021 73   Colorado St. L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 06, 2021 73   Colorado St. L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 11, 2021 39   @ Utah St. L 64-80 6%    
  Feb 13, 2021 39   @ Utah St. L 64-80 6%    
  Feb 17, 2021 252   @ New Mexico W 74-73 49%    
  Feb 19, 2021 252   @ New Mexico W 74-73 49%    
  Feb 25, 2021 322   San Jose St. W 88-78 86%    
  Feb 27, 2021 322   San Jose St. W 88-78 86%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.8 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.4 5.7 12.0 8.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 28.6 8th
9th 0.7 7.9 14.7 7.4 1.3 0.1 32.1 9th
10th 0.9 6.3 7.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 18.0 10th
11th 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.9 11th
Total 0.3 2.1 8.3 16.3 23.1 21.9 15.7 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2
10-10 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 1.0
9-11 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 3.2
8-12 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 15.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 15.6
6-14 21.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 21.9
5-15 23.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.1
4-16 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.3
3-17 8.3% 8.3
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%