Idaho
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.6#338
Expected Predictive Rating-20.6#341
Pace69.8#189
Improvement-2.0#293

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#316
First Shot-1.9#225
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#339
Layup/Dunks-3.2#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#191
Freethrows-2.6#308
Improvement-1.5#284

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#334
First Shot-8.0#342
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#129
Layups/Dunks-3.0#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#244
Freethrows-1.4#263
Improvement-0.5#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 89.0% 78.2% 92.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Home) - 24.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 90 - 12
Quad 42 - 92 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 215   @ Sacramento St. L 55-77 14%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -24.1 -14.1 -11.1
  Dec 05, 2020 215   @ Sacramento St. L 57-73 14%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -18.1 -11.0 -8.1
  Dec 09, 2020 128   @ Washington St. L 58-61 6%     0 - 3 +1.3 -8.0 +9.3
  Dec 12, 2020 164   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-76 9%     0 - 4 -8.7 -1.7 -7.5
  Dec 18, 2020 65   @ Utah L 41-79 2%     0 - 5 -28.0 -27.9 +0.3
  Dec 31, 2020 307   Northern Arizona L 65-78 41%     0 - 6 0 - 3 -24.1 -16.0 -8.4
  Jan 02, 2021 307   Northern Arizona L 78-83 OT 41%     0 - 7 0 - 4 -16.1 -9.4 -6.4
  Jan 07, 2021 189   @ Southern Utah L 80-85 12%     0 - 8 0 - 5 -5.5 +4.4 -10.0
  Jan 09, 2021 189   @ Southern Utah L 67-83 12%     0 - 9 0 - 6 -16.5 -11.4 -4.6
  Jan 14, 2021 208   Northern Colorado L 54-74 21%     0 - 10 0 - 7 -25.0 -14.5 -12.5
  Jan 16, 2021 208   Northern Colorado L 63-72 25%    
  Jan 28, 2021 179   Weber St. L 67-78 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 179   Weber St. L 67-78 21%    
  Feb 04, 2021 118   Eastern Washington L 67-83 9%    
  Feb 06, 2021 118   @ Eastern Washington L 66-85 3%    
  Feb 11, 2021 267   @ Idaho St. L 66-75 17%    
  Feb 13, 2021 267   @ Idaho St. L 66-75 18%    
  Feb 18, 2021 289   @ Portland St. L 71-78 22%    
  Feb 20, 2021 289   Portland St. L 72-76 40%    
  Feb 25, 2021 186   Montana St. L 65-75 21%    
  Feb 27, 2021 186   Montana St. L 65-75 22%    
  Mar 04, 2021 156   @ Montana L 58-74 6%    
  Mar 06, 2021 156   @ Montana L 58-74 6%    
Projected Record 2 - 21 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.1 0.2 4.3 9th
10th 1.1 4.4 5.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 11.6 23.0 23.9 14.9 5.1 0.8 0.0 79.2 11th
Total 11.6 23.0 25.1 19.5 11.6 5.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.2% 0.2
7-13 1.0% 1.0
6-14 2.3% 2.3
5-15 5.6% 5.6
4-16 11.6% 11.6
3-17 19.5% 19.5
2-18 25.1% 25.1
1-19 23.0% 23.0
0-20 11.6% 11.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.6%