Utah
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#76
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#129
Pace66.2#265
Improvement+0.1#167

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#78
First Shot+2.6#106
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#109
Layup/Dunks+7.1#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#285
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement-0.9#234

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#87
First Shot+1.7#123
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#72
Layups/Dunks+2.7#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#259
Freethrows+1.4#93
Improvement+1.0#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 5.3% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 3.2% 0.5%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 12.1
.500 or above 28.6% 39.5% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 10.3% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 5.0% 21.1%
First Four1.1% 1.6% 0.3%
First Round3.0% 4.4% 1.4%
Second Round1.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 22 - 23 - 10
Quad 33 - 27 - 12
Quad 44 - 110 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 135   Washington W 76-62 73%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +14.6 +3.0 +11.7
  Dec 08, 2020 264   Idaho St. W 75-59 91%     2 - 0 +8.0 +2.9 +6.2
  Dec 12, 2020 37   @ BYU L 64-82 27%     2 - 1 -4.5 -2.9 -1.4
  Dec 15, 2020 237   Utah Valley W 75-67 90%     3 - 1 +1.2 -2.0 +3.1
  Dec 18, 2020 335   Idaho W 79-41 97%     4 - 1 +22.6 -2.9 +25.0
  Dec 31, 2020 25   @ UCLA L 70-72 22%     4 - 2 1 - 1 +13.1 +11.4 +1.5
  Jan 02, 2021 24   @ USC L 46-64 22%     4 - 3 1 - 2 -2.8 -13.3 +8.4
  Jan 09, 2021 20   Oregon L 73-79 30%     4 - 4 1 - 3 +6.6 +6.8 -0.3
  Jan 11, 2021 19   Colorado L 58-65 30%     4 - 5 1 - 4 +5.6 -7.1 +12.4
  Jan 14, 2021 50   Stanford W 79-65 44%     5 - 5 2 - 4 +22.7 +11.8 +10.8
  Jan 16, 2021 136   California L 63-72 75%     5 - 6 2 - 5 -8.8 -7.5 -1.8
  Jan 21, 2021 126   @ Washington St. W 67-65 54%    
  Jan 24, 2021 135   @ Washington W 73-70 57%    
  Jan 30, 2021 19   @ Colorado L 65-74 17%    
  Feb 04, 2021 29   Arizona L 70-74 41%    
  Feb 06, 2021 77   Arizona St. W 75-73 61%    
  Feb 11, 2021 136   @ California W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 13, 2021 50   @ Stanford L 66-71 28%    
  Feb 18, 2021 140   @ Oregon St. W 70-66 58%    
  Feb 20, 2021 20   @ Oregon L 66-75 17%    
  Feb 25, 2021 25   UCLA L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 27, 2021 24   USC L 67-72 38%    
Projected Record 10 - 12 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.1 5.7 6th
7th 0.4 4.8 8.0 5.7 1.5 0.2 20.5 7th
8th 0.4 4.9 9.9 7.7 1.7 0.0 24.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.9 8.8 5.5 1.0 0.0 18.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 7.0 4.5 0.7 14.0 10th
11th 0.8 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.1 9.4 11th
12th 0.5 2.1 2.5 0.7 5.8 12th
Total 0.5 2.9 9.0 14.3 19.0 20.9 17.3 9.6 4.6 1.1 0.6 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.6% 86.8% 13.0% 73.7% 9.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 84.8%
11-9 1.1% 55.0% 6.8% 48.2% 10.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 51.7%
10-10 4.6% 24.4% 9.1% 15.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 3.5 16.8%
9-11 9.6% 5.6% 2.8% 2.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.1 2.9%
8-12 17.3% 2.0% 2.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 16.9
7-13 20.9% 1.3% 1.3% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 20.7
6-14 19.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 19.0
5-15 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.3
4-16 9.0% 9.0
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 1.6% 1.9% 11.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.5 2.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%