Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
144 Texas St. 0.0%   18 - 7 12 - 3 18 - 7 12 - 3 +1.4      +1.1 145 +0.3 163 61.7 337 +4.3 108 +5.0 1
146 Georgia St. 100.0%   16   15 - 10 9 - 5 15 - 10 9 - 5 +1.2      -1.4 213 +2.6 110 68.4 164 +1.5 143 +1.1 4
152 South Alabama 0.0%   15 - 11 9 - 7 15 - 11 9 - 7 +0.9      +0.2 174 +0.7 151 67.2 203 +0.1 172 -0.5 6
159 Appalachian St. 0.0%   16 - 14 12 - 6 16 - 14 12 - 6 +0.4      -1.1 202 +1.5 130 62.4 327 +0.5 163 +2.1 3
163 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   12 - 13 8 - 8 12 - 13 8 - 8 +0.1      0.0 181 +0.2 170 66.1 233 -2.1 207 -2.7 7
188 Louisiana 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 9 14 - 15 8 - 9 -1.2      -0.6 191 -0.5 193 73.5 56 -2.2 209 -2.7 8
191 Arkansas St. 0.0%   15 - 11 8 - 7 15 - 11 8 - 7 -1.4      -2.5 245 +1.1 135 69.8 119 -0.1 174 -0.5 5
193 Troy 0.0%   17 - 11 10 - 6 17 - 11 10 - 6 -1.5      -3.3 265 +1.8 123 68.1 183 +1.1 149 +2.1 2
227 Texas Arlington 0.0%   9 - 18 7 - 10 9 - 18 7 - 10 -3.3      -3.8 275 +0.4 160 64.6 271 -4.3 234 -4.2 9
258 Georgia Southern 0.0%   10 - 16 5 - 11 10 - 16 5 - 11 -5.4      -5.0 306 -0.3 183 66.1 234 -3.9 228 -6.2 10
270 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   10 - 18 5 - 13 10 - 18 5 - 13 -6.1      -1.6 220 -4.5 296 69.7 123 -5.7 260 -7.8 11
317 Arkansas Little Rock 0.0%   6 - 19 3 - 11 6 - 19 3 - 11 -10.0      -4.0 282 -6.0 330 67.3 199 -7.0 279 -9.3 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Texas St. 1.0 100.0
Georgia St. 4.0 100.0
South Alabama 4.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 1.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 6.0 100.0
Louisiana 6.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 6.0 100.0
Troy 3.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 9.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 10.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 10.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas St. 12 - 6 100.0
Georgia St. 9 - 9 100.0
South Alabama 9 - 9 100.0
Appalachian St. 12 - 6 100.0
Coastal Carolina 8 - 10 100.0
Louisiana 8 - 10 100.0
Arkansas St. 8 - 10 100.0
Troy 10 - 8 100.0
Texas Arlington 7 - 11 100.0
Georgia Southern 5 - 13 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 5 - 13 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas St. 100.0% 100.0
Georgia St.
South Alabama
Appalachian St. 100.0% 100.0
Coastal Carolina
Louisiana
Arkansas St.
Troy
Texas Arlington
Georgia Southern
Louisiana Monroe
Arkansas Little Rock


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 1.3 43.7 55.0
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 100.0% 12.4% 94.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.8% 0.9 5.2 94.8
2nd Round 3.9% 0.0 96.1 3.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0