Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#172
Pace67.2#203
Improvement-3.1#303

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#174
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks+4.6#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#288
Freethrows-0.7#244
Improvement-0.2#195

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#151
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#342
Layups/Dunks+1.0#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#147
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement-3.0#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 35 - 65 - 8
Quad 410 - 315 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 92   @ Wichita St. L 58-64 24%     0 - 1 +2.2 -7.3 +9.3
  Nov 16, 2021 23   @ Alabama L 68-73 11%     0 - 2 +9.5 -9.5 +19.7
  Nov 25, 2021 208   San Diego W 68-67 62%     1 - 2 -1.3 -3.4 +2.0
  Nov 26, 2021 164   Hawaii W 72-69 53%     2 - 2 +3.1 +1.6 +1.5
  Dec 01, 2021 335   Southern Miss W 85-55 91%     3 - 2 +16.4 +5.0 +11.4
  Dec 04, 2021 153   @ Jacksonville St. W 74-64 42%     4 - 2 +13.0 +3.6 +9.6
  Dec 14, 2021 216   Tarleton St. W 69-62 71%     5 - 2 +2.2 -6.2 +8.2
  Dec 17, 2021 216   @ Tarleton St. L 52-65 55%     5 - 3 -13.4 -13.7 -1.3
  Dec 21, 2021 308   SIU Edwardsville W 84-69 87%     6 - 3 +3.8 +2.3 +0.6
  Dec 30, 2021 227   @ Texas Arlington L 87-89 OT 58%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -3.1 +9.8 -12.7
  Jan 06, 2022 159   Appalachian St. L 64-72 61%     6 - 5 0 - 2 -9.9 -6.3 -3.8
  Jan 13, 2022 146   Georgia St. W 74-65 57%     7 - 5 1 - 2 +8.0 -0.1 +7.7
  Jan 15, 2022 258   Georgia Southern W 73-67 79%     8 - 5 2 - 2 -1.6 +0.8 -2.2
  Jan 20, 2022 188   @ Louisiana W 77-70 49%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +8.1 +7.3 +1.0
  Jan 22, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-56 68%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +8.1 +5.9 +4.7
  Jan 27, 2022 193   Troy W 82-63 67%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +15.3 +7.2 +7.5
  Jan 29, 2022 193   @ Troy L 68-77 51%     11 - 6 5 - 3 -8.2 -1.1 -7.2
  Feb 03, 2022 258   @ Georgia Southern L 57-58 65%     11 - 7 5 - 4 -4.1 -8.6 +4.3
  Feb 05, 2022 146   @ Georgia St. L 62-69 40%     11 - 8 5 - 5 -3.6 -7.2 +3.6
  Feb 10, 2022 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-46 89%     12 - 8 6 - 5 +18.8 +7.4 +15.5
  Feb 12, 2022 191   Arkansas St. W 70-51 67%     13 - 8 7 - 5 +15.4 +1.6 +15.0
  Feb 17, 2022 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-68 44%     14 - 8 8 - 5 +5.4 +8.4 -2.7
  Feb 19, 2022 159   @ Appalachian St. L 51-69 44%     14 - 9 8 - 6 -15.4 -12.0 -6.0
  Feb 23, 2022 144   Texas St. L 52-55 57%     14 - 10 8 - 7 -3.9 -9.8 +5.2
  Feb 25, 2022 227   Texas Arlington W 62-52 73%     15 - 10 9 - 7 +4.5 -0.4 +6.7
  Mar 03, 2022 317   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-75 85%     15 - 11 -14.0 +2.8 -17.4
Projected Record 15 - 11 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%