Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#106
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#74
Pace69.9#115
Improvement-7.7#355

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#120
First Shot+0.1#178
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#50
Layup/Dunks-0.1#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#254
Freethrows+1.4#74
Improvement-1.4#258

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#107
First Shot+3.6#71
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#258
Layups/Dunks+4.1#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#309
Freethrows+0.7#122
Improvement-6.3#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 6
Quad 24 - 46 - 10
Quad 36 - 312 - 13
Quad 45 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 210   Penn W 105-70 81%     1 - 0 +30.4 +13.3 +12.7
  Nov 14, 2021 47   @ Florida L 55-71 24%     1 - 1 -3.8 -11.6 +7.4
  Nov 17, 2021 96   Tulane W 59-54 55%     2 - 1 +8.5 -6.3 +15.3
  Nov 21, 2021 183   Loyola Marymount W 73-45 71%     3 - 1 +27.0 -3.2 +30.3
  Nov 22, 2021 113   Missouri W 81-58 54%     4 - 1 +26.6 +13.2 +14.3
  Nov 24, 2021 218   Boston University W 81-80 OT 82%     5 - 1 -4.0 -1.6 -2.4
  Nov 30, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 65-93 11%     5 - 2 -9.6 -1.2 -9.0
  Dec 04, 2021 65   Syracuse L 60-63 44%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +3.3 -13.6 +16.9
  Dec 12, 2021 93   South Carolina L 65-66 46%     5 - 4 +4.9 -2.8 +7.7
  Dec 15, 2021 268   Lipscomb W 97-60 88%     6 - 4 +28.7 +9.6 +16.0
  Jan 01, 2022 127   @ North Carolina St. W 83-81 50%     7 - 4 1 - 1 +6.9 +8.2 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2022 35   @ Wake Forest L 54-76 21%     7 - 5 1 - 2 -8.7 -18.2 +11.7
  Jan 08, 2022 119   Louisville W 79-70 64%     8 - 5 2 - 2 +10.0 +9.6 +0.6
  Jan 11, 2022 54   Miami (FL) W 65-64 40%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +8.2 +0.4 +8.0
  Jan 15, 2022 65   @ Syracuse W 76-71 28%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +15.7 +12.4 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2022 13   Duke W 79-78 OT 18%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +15.3 +8.7 +6.6
  Jan 20, 2022 266   North Florida W 86-73 88%     12 - 5 +4.8 +8.0 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2022 54   @ Miami (FL) W 61-60 25%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +12.7 -3.7 +16.5
  Jan 26, 2022 142   @ Georgia Tech L 61-75 53%     13 - 6 6 - 3 -10.1 -3.9 -7.0
  Jan 29, 2022 22   Virginia Tech L 72-85 30%     13 - 7 6 - 4 -2.8 +12.2 -16.8
  Feb 02, 2022 76   @ Clemson L 69-75 31%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +4.0 +4.7 -1.1
  Feb 05, 2022 35   Wake Forest L 60-68 34%     13 - 9 6 - 6 +0.9 -13.9 +15.5
  Feb 09, 2022 165   Pittsburgh L 51-56 75%     13 - 10 6 - 7 -7.1 -18.0 +10.6
  Feb 12, 2022 28   @ North Carolina L 74-94 19%     13 - 11 6 - 8 -6.0 +1.5 -6.0
  Feb 15, 2022 76   Clemson W 81-80 47%     14 - 11 7 - 8 +6.6 +9.9 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2022 13   @ Duke L 70-88 10%     14 - 12 7 - 9 +0.7 +6.8 -7.0
  Feb 21, 2022 120   @ Boston College L 55-71 48%     14 - 13 7 - 10 -10.6 -12.0 +0.6
  Feb 26, 2022 77   @ Virginia W 64-63 31%     15 - 13 8 - 10 +11.0 +5.5 +5.6
  Mar 02, 2022 48   Notre Dame W 74-70 39%     16 - 13 9 - 10 +11.7 +4.4 +7.4
  Mar 05, 2022 127   North Carolina St. W 89-76 66%     17 - 13 10 - 10 +13.5 +14.5 -0.9
  Mar 09, 2022 65   Syracuse L 57-96 36%     17 - 14 -30.5 -17.0 -12.9
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%