Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+23.9#1
Expected Predictive Rating+20.6#2
Pace80.9#3
Improvement+0.6#156

Offense
Total Offense+13.4#2
First Shot+13.8#1
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#213
Layup/Dunks+11.1#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#65
Freethrows+1.1#89
Improvement-0.9#226

Defense
Total Defense+10.5#4
First Shot+8.9#6
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#43
Layups/Dunks+3.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#78
Freethrows+3.1#13
Improvement+1.5#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 28.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 79.9% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen88.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight73.7% n/a n/a
Final Four57.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game43.4% n/a n/a
National Champion32.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 25 - 2
Quad 1b5 - 110 - 3
Quad 22 - 012 - 3
Quad 31 - 013 - 3
Quad 413 - 026 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 280   Dixie St. W 97-63 99%     1 - 0 +24.9 +9.2 +11.4
  Nov 13, 2021 18   Texas W 86-74 87%     2 - 0 +23.7 +26.7 -2.0
  Nov 15, 2021 283   Alcorn St. W 84-57 99%     3 - 0 +17.4 +5.6 +11.3
  Nov 19, 2021 198   Bellarmine W 92-50 99%     4 - 0 +38.0 +14.8 +24.2
  Nov 22, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 107-54 99%     5 - 0 +44.8 +19.0 +20.4
  Nov 23, 2021 8   UCLA W 83-63 74%     6 - 0 +37.4 +17.3 +19.9
  Nov 26, 2021 13   Duke L 81-84 76%     6 - 1 +13.5 +3.9 +10.0
  Nov 29, 2021 216   Tarleton St. W 64-55 99%     7 - 1 +4.2 -5.1 +9.9
  Dec 04, 2021 23   Alabama L 82-91 86%     7 - 2 +3.3 +2.1 +2.3
  Dec 09, 2021 291   Merrimack W 80-55 99%     8 - 2 +15.1 +6.1 +9.6
  Dec 18, 2021 9   Texas Tech W 69-55 74%     9 - 2 +31.4 +14.9 +17.6
  Dec 20, 2021 330   Northern Arizona W 95-49 99.7%    10 - 2 +33.0 +13.4 +18.8
  Dec 28, 2021 320   North Alabama W 93-63 99.7%    11 - 2 +17.7 +9.1 +5.9
  Jan 08, 2022 265   Pepperdine W 117-83 99%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +25.8 +14.8 +3.5
  Jan 13, 2022 61   BYU W 110-84 94%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +32.7 +29.5 +0.6
  Jan 15, 2022 71   @ Santa Clara W 115-83 89%     14 - 2 3 - 0 +42.4 +18.5 +16.6
  Jan 20, 2022 21   San Francisco W 78-62 89%     15 - 2 4 - 0 +26.6 +10.3 +16.1
  Jan 27, 2022 183   Loyola Marymount W 89-55 99%     16 - 2 5 - 0 +30.8 +18.1 +15.2
  Jan 29, 2022 169   Portland W 104-72 98%     17 - 2 6 - 0 +29.5 +12.3 +11.9
  Feb 03, 2022 208   @ San Diego W 92-62 98%     18 - 2 7 - 0 +29.9 +14.4 +13.0
  Feb 05, 2022 61   @ BYU W 90-57 88%     19 - 2 8 - 0 +44.1 +9.5 +29.8
  Feb 10, 2022 277   Pacific W 89-51 99%     20 - 2 9 - 0 +29.2 +10.9 +17.2
  Feb 12, 2022 20   St. Mary's W 74-58 88%     21 - 2 10 - 0 +27.2 +12.2 +15.7
  Feb 16, 2022 265   @ Pepperdine W 86-66 99%     22 - 2 11 - 0 +16.2 +7.4 +7.8
  Feb 19, 2022 71   Santa Clara W 81-69 94%     23 - 2 12 - 0 +18.0 +9.2 +8.9
  Feb 24, 2022 21   @ San Francisco W 89-73 80%     24 - 2 13 - 0 +31.0 +20.3 +10.0
  Feb 26, 2022 20   @ St. Mary's L 57-67 79%     24 - 3 13 - 1 +5.6 -6.5 +12.3
  Mar 07, 2022 21   San Francisco W 81-71 85%     25 - 3 +22.8 +12.7 +9.8
  Mar 08, 2022 20   St. Mary's W 82-69 84%     26 - 3 +26.4 +23.0 +4.1
Projected Record 26 - 3 13 - 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.2 79.9 19.8 0.3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.2 79.9 19.8 0.3