Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#119
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#117
Pace68.1#178
Improvement-5.2#333

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#164
First Shot+0.3#172
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#150
Layup/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#105
Freethrows-0.4#215
Improvement+0.4#169

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#111
First Shot+0.9#144
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#42
Layups/Dunks+0.0#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement-5.6#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 23 - 83 - 14
Quad 35 - 58 - 19
Quad 45 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 239   Southern W 72-60 82%     1 - 0 +5.6 -5.6 +10.3
  Nov 12, 2021 88   Furman L 72-80 OT 46%     1 - 1 -3.9 -10.5 +7.5
  Nov 15, 2021 197   Navy W 77-60 75%     2 - 1 +13.1 +7.6 +5.7
  Nov 20, 2021 221   Detroit Mercy W 73-67 79%     3 - 1 +0.8 -4.2 +5.2
  Nov 25, 2021 46   Mississippi St. W 72-58 25%     4 - 1 +24.0 +1.8 +21.7
  Nov 27, 2021 64   Maryland W 63-55 30%     5 - 1 +16.6 -6.6 +23.2
  Dec 01, 2021 32   @ Michigan St. L 64-73 16%     5 - 2 +4.7 -3.8 +8.7
  Dec 04, 2021 127   @ North Carolina St. W 73-68 43%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +9.9 +3.1 +7.0
  Dec 10, 2021 90   DePaul L 55-62 47%     6 - 3 -2.9 -18.9 +16.3
  Dec 14, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 86-60 88%     7 - 3 +16.3 +0.7 +14.3
  Dec 18, 2021 115   @ Western Kentucky L 72-82 40%     7 - 4 -4.2 -0.6 -3.5
  Dec 29, 2021 35   Wake Forest W 73-69 29%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +12.9 +6.4 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2022 142   @ Georgia Tech W 67-64 47%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +6.9 +3.4 +3.7
  Jan 05, 2022 165   Pittsburgh W 75-72 70%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +0.9 +6.2 -5.2
  Jan 08, 2022 106   @ Florida St. L 70-79 36%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -2.0 +2.7 -4.9
  Jan 12, 2022 127   North Carolina St. L 63-79 60%     10 - 6 4 - 2 -15.5 -5.8 -11.5
  Jan 15, 2022 165   @ Pittsburgh L 53-65 53%     10 - 7 4 - 3 -9.7 -15.0 +4.9
  Jan 19, 2022 120   Boston College W 67-54 59%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +14.0 -4.9 +18.8
  Jan 22, 2022 48   Notre Dame L 70-82 33%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -4.3 +8.9 -14.8
  Jan 24, 2022 77   @ Virginia L 52-64 26%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -2.0 -2.6 -2.3
  Jan 29, 2022 13   Duke L 65-74 15%     11 - 10 5 - 6 +5.3 +2.3 +2.1
  Feb 01, 2022 28   North Carolina L 83-90 OT 27%     11 - 11 5 - 7 +2.6 +4.2 -0.9
  Feb 05, 2022 65   @ Syracuse L 69-92 23%     11 - 12 5 - 8 -12.3 -5.3 -6.2
  Feb 09, 2022 48   @ Notre Dame L 57-63 20%     11 - 13 5 - 9 +6.1 -5.4 +10.9
  Feb 16, 2022 54   Miami (FL) L 63-70 35%     11 - 14 5 - 10 +0.2 -7.9 +8.0
  Feb 19, 2022 76   Clemson W 70-61 41%     12 - 14 6 - 10 +14.6 +5.3 +10.1
  Feb 21, 2022 28   @ North Carolina L 63-70 16%     12 - 15 6 - 11 +7.0 -0.7 +7.4
  Feb 26, 2022 35   @ Wake Forest L 77-99 17%     12 - 16 6 - 12 -8.7 +7.7 -15.7
  Mar 01, 2022 22   @ Virginia Tech L 43-75 14%     12 - 17 6 - 13 -17.4 -18.3 -3.5
  Mar 05, 2022 77   Virginia L 61-71 41%     12 - 18 6 - 14 -4.4 +1.9 -7.9
  Mar 08, 2022 142   Georgia Tech W 84-74 56%     13 - 18 +11.7 +16.3 -4.4
  Mar 09, 2022 77   Virginia L 50-51 33%     13 - 19 +6.8 -9.0 +15.5
Projected Record 13 - 19 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%