Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#54
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#41
Pace68.5#162
Improvement+3.8#54

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#18
First Shot+8.8#11
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#212
Layup/Dunks+5.2#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
Freethrows+1.8#51
Improvement+1.3#113

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#115
Layups/Dunks-2.0#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#293
Freethrows+2.5#29
Improvement+2.5#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 68.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.6% n/a n/a
First Round61.3% n/a n/a
Second Round24.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 3
Quad 25 - 49 - 7
Quad 39 - 318 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 261   Canisius W 77-67 94%     1 - 0 +2.0 -2.7 +4.2
  Nov 13, 2021 107   Central Florida L 89-95 75%     1 - 1 -3.5 +12.3 -15.4
  Nov 16, 2021 126   @ Florida Atlantic W 68-66 67%     2 - 1 +6.9 -1.9 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2021 314   Florida A&M W 86-59 97%     3 - 1 +14.9 +9.0 +6.3
  Nov 25, 2021 63   Dayton L 60-76 53%     3 - 2 -7.2 -6.1 -1.6
  Nov 26, 2021 72   North Texas W 69-63 55%     4 - 2 +14.2 +11.9 +3.0
  Nov 28, 2021 23   Alabama L 64-96 39%     4 - 3 -19.7 -6.3 -13.0
  Dec 01, 2021 73   @ Penn St. W 63-58 46%     5 - 3 +15.4 +4.1 +11.8
  Dec 04, 2021 76   Clemson W 80-75 65%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +10.6 +12.2 -1.4
  Dec 08, 2021 268   Lipscomb W 76-59 94%     7 - 3 +8.7 -5.6 +13.8
  Dec 12, 2021 176   Fordham W 72-66 83%     8 - 3 +5.5 +4.1 +1.3
  Dec 20, 2021 294   Stetson W 82-72 96%     9 - 3 -0.1 +12.3 -11.4
  Dec 29, 2021 127   North Carolina St. W 91-83 80%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +8.5 +14.5 -6.1
  Jan 01, 2022 35   Wake Forest W 92-84 52%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +16.9 +21.4 -4.6
  Jan 05, 2022 65   Syracuse W 88-87 62%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +7.3 +9.7 -2.4
  Jan 08, 2022 13   @ Duke W 76-74 19%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +20.7 +8.5 +12.1
  Jan 11, 2022 106   @ Florida St. L 64-65 60%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +6.0 +3.1 +2.7
  Jan 18, 2022 28   North Carolina W 85-57 49%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +37.6 +16.3 +21.5
  Jan 22, 2022 106   Florida St. L 60-61 75%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +1.6 -5.4 +6.9
  Jan 26, 2022 22   @ Virginia Tech W 78-75 31%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +17.6 +20.2 -2.3
  Jan 29, 2022 142   @ Georgia Tech W 73-62 70%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +14.9 +1.6 +12.9
  Feb 02, 2022 48   Notre Dame L 64-68 57%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +3.7 +1.8 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2022 77   @ Virginia L 58-71 48%     16 - 7 8 - 4 -3.0 +1.6 -7.0
  Feb 09, 2022 142   Georgia Tech W 79-70 83%     17 - 7 9 - 4 +8.5 +6.0 +2.3
  Feb 12, 2022 35   @ Wake Forest W 76-72 35%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +17.3 +10.8 +6.6
  Feb 16, 2022 119   @ Louisville W 70-63 65%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +12.4 +3.0 +9.6
  Feb 19, 2022 77   Virginia L 71-74 65%     19 - 8 11 - 5 +2.6 +6.1 -3.7
  Feb 22, 2022 165   @ Pittsburgh W 85-64 75%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +23.3 +14.1 +9.0
  Feb 26, 2022 22   Virginia Tech L 70-71 47%     20 - 9 12 - 6 +9.2 +7.7 +1.3
  Mar 02, 2022 120   @ Boston College W 81-70 65%     21 - 9 13 - 6 +16.4 +18.6 -1.3
  Mar 05, 2022 65   @ Syracuse W 75-72 45%     22 - 9 14 - 6 +13.7 +5.0 +8.8
  Mar 10, 2022 120   Boston College W 71-69 OT 73%     23 - 9 +5.2 +4.5 +0.8
  Mar 11, 2022 13   Duke L 76-80 25%     23 - 10 +12.5 +12.1 +0.2
Projected Record 23 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 68.3% 68.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 8.0 23.9 32.6 2.6 0.0 31.8 68.3%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 68.3% 0.0% 68.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 8.0 23.9 32.6 2.6 0.0 31.8 68.3%