Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#67
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#69
Pace69.4#132
Improvement-1.5#236

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#54
First Shot+3.7#74
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#86
Layup/Dunks+4.2#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#269
Freethrows+2.9#13
Improvement-2.0#276

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#85
First Shot+5.6#32
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#330
Layups/Dunks+2.4#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#16
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.0% n/a n/a
First Round2.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 24 - 45 - 9
Quad 37 - 212 - 11
Quad 410 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 96-61 96%     1 - 0 +22.9 +5.9 +13.6
  Nov 12, 2021 355   Eastern Illinois W 86-44 99%     2 - 0 +22.6 +7.9 +14.5
  Nov 16, 2021 25   @ Memphis L 74-90 28%     2 - 1 -1.7 -3.2 +4.1
  Nov 20, 2021 199   Mercer W 75-58 87%     3 - 1 +13.0 +2.6 +11.5
  Nov 23, 2021 178   Illinois St. W 82-76 80%     4 - 1 +5.4 +4.8 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2021 117   Stephen F. Austin W 79-68 69%     5 - 1 +14.2 +6.7 +7.2
  Nov 30, 2021 37   @ Boise St. W 86-82 OT 32%     6 - 1 +17.1 +14.8 +2.0
  Dec 04, 2021 53   UAB L 72-77 53%     6 - 2 +2.4 +5.2 -3.1
  Dec 07, 2021 91   Belmont L 59-64 66%     6 - 3 -1.0 -9.1 +7.8
  Dec 11, 2021 120   Boston College W 79-68 76%     7 - 3 +12.0 +8.1 +4.0
  Dec 18, 2021 11   Auburn L 70-74 26%     7 - 4 +11.0 +6.2 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2022 81   Richmond W 76-69 64%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +11.7 +1.9 +9.5
  Jan 08, 2022 104   Iona W 68-67 70%     9 - 4 +3.8 -1.0 +4.8
  Jan 11, 2022 63   @ Dayton L 63-68 40%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +6.0 +3.4 +2.1
  Jan 15, 2022 176   Fordham W 63-45 85%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +15.3 -1.7 +18.1
  Jan 20, 2022 171   @ Massachusetts L 85-91 73%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -4.1 +4.6 -8.5
  Jan 23, 2022 171   Massachusetts W 90-59 84%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +28.5 +9.2 +19.1
  Jan 26, 2022 212   George Washington W 80-67 88%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +8.3 +7.4 +1.2
  Jan 29, 2022 267   @ Duquesne W 77-53 87%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +20.2 -0.2 +19.7
  Feb 02, 2022 118   @ George Mason W 92-90 2OT 61%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +7.4 +4.2 +2.8
  Feb 05, 2022 63   Dayton W 72-61 57%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +17.5 +13.2 +5.9
  Feb 08, 2022 214   @ La Salle W 75-57 79%     16 - 6 8 - 2 +17.6 +4.7 +13.3
  Feb 11, 2022 82   St. Bonaventure L 61-68 64%     16 - 7 8 - 3 -2.3 -7.2 +4.7
  Feb 14, 2022 82   @ St. Bonaventure L 79-83 47%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +5.1 +13.4 -8.4
  Feb 16, 2022 214   La Salle W 90-64 89%     17 - 8 9 - 4 +21.2 +17.0 +4.5
  Feb 19, 2022 52   @ Davidson L 58-79 37%     17 - 9 9 - 5 -9.2 -10.0 -0.4
  Feb 22, 2022 161   Saint Joseph's W 72-61 83%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +9.1 +8.0 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2022 81   @ Richmond L 66-68 47%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +7.1 +3.7 +3.2
  Mar 02, 2022 137   @ Rhode Island W 80-74 65%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +10.2 +11.4 -1.3
  Mar 05, 2022 66   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-65 58%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +10.3 +6.5 +3.8
  Mar 10, 2022 214   La Salle W 71-51 85%     21 - 10 +17.4 -0.2 +18.1
  Mar 11, 2022 82   St. Bonaventure W 57-56 55%     22 - 10 +7.9 -6.2 +14.2
  Mar 12, 2022 52   Davidson L 69-84 45%     22 - 11 -5.4 -2.7 -2.9
Projected Record 22 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 6.1% 6.1% 12.0 0.0 0.5 5.1 0.5 93.9 6.1%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.1% 0.0% 6.1% 12.0 0.0 0.5 5.1 0.5 93.9 6.1%