Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#79
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#42
Pace73.7#52
Improvement+0.3#167

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#14
First Shot+10.3#3
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#270
Layup/Dunks+3.9#47
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#26
Freethrows+1.1#92
Improvement-0.8#217

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#231
First Shot-3.2#271
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#67
Layups/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#292
Freethrows+2.2#34
Improvement+1.1#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 02 - 2
Quad 313 - 115 - 3
Quad 413 - 128 - 4


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 98   Bradley W 81-65 65%     1 - 0 +19.3 +0.2 +17.0
  Nov 12, 2021 23   @ Alabama L 88-104 25%     1 - 1 -1.5 +8.0 -7.4
  Nov 14, 2021 117   @ Stephen F. Austin W 83-71 57%     2 - 1 +17.4 +8.0 +8.5
  Nov 17, 2021 140   Montana St. W 91-74 77%     3 - 1 +16.7 +15.4 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2021 110   Nevada W 102-75 63%     4 - 1 +30.9 +16.2 +11.0
  Nov 23, 2021 101   Washington L 76-87 58%     4 - 2 -5.8 +2.3 -7.5
  Nov 24, 2021 118   George Mason W 80-76 66%     5 - 2 +7.2 +12.9 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2021 300   Prairie View W 99-90 94%     6 - 2 -1.4 +10.8 -13.2
  Dec 08, 2021 321   @ Idaho L 84-98 92%     6 - 3 -21.9 +0.6 -21.8
  Dec 11, 2021 51   Washington St. W 77-74 41%     7 - 3 +12.6 +11.2 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2021 75   @ Missouri St. L 63-75 39%     7 - 4 -1.9 -9.9 +8.5
  Dec 20, 2021 217   UMKC W 89-57 87%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +27.1 +8.6 +16.4
  Dec 22, 2021 160   Oral Roberts W 82-76 81%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +4.1 +2.7 +1.3
  Dec 30, 2021 149   @ North Dakota St. W 90-86 65%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +7.3 +25.0 -17.5
  Jan 08, 2022 202   South Dakota W 84-65 86%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +14.9 +8.2 +7.0
  Jan 13, 2022 346   @ Nebraska Omaha W 95-86 94%     12 - 4 5 - 0 -1.8 +11.2 -13.3
  Jan 15, 2022 295   Denver W 80-62 94%     13 - 4 6 - 0 +7.8 -0.7 +8.3
  Jan 20, 2022 312   @ St. Thomas W 92-77 91%     14 - 4 7 - 0 +7.6 +9.7 -2.0
  Jan 22, 2022 242   @ Western Illinois W 93-75 82%     15 - 4 8 - 0 +15.7 +13.4 +1.4
  Jan 27, 2022 345   North Dakota W 96-61 97%     16 - 4 9 - 0 +19.8 +13.0 +6.6
  Jan 29, 2022 149   North Dakota St. W 80-76 79%     17 - 4 10 - 0 +2.9 +1.8 +0.8
  Jan 31, 2022 345   @ North Dakota W 70-64 94%     18 - 4 11 - 0 -4.8 -8.5 +3.8
  Feb 05, 2022 202   @ South Dakota W 89-79 75%     19 - 4 12 - 0 +10.3 +13.0 -2.8
  Feb 10, 2022 295   @ Denver W 84-61 88%     20 - 4 13 - 0 +17.3 +17.0 +3.2
  Feb 12, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 82-61 97%     21 - 4 14 - 0 +5.8 +4.3 +2.9
  Feb 17, 2022 242   Western Illinois W 91-66 90%     22 - 4 15 - 0 +18.3 +11.1 +6.3
  Feb 19, 2022 312   St. Thomas W 79-60 95%     23 - 4 16 - 0 +7.1 -4.3 +11.8
  Feb 24, 2022 160   @ Oral Roberts W 106-102 OT 68%     24 - 4 17 - 0 +6.5 +11.4 -5.6
  Feb 26, 2022 217   @ UMKC W 86-75 77%     25 - 4 18 - 0 +10.5 +12.4 -2.1
  Mar 05, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 87-79 96%     26 - 4 -5.0 +8.3 -13.0
  Mar 07, 2022 202   South Dakota W 83-60 81%     27 - 4 +21.1 +18.8 +5.7
  Mar 08, 2022 149   North Dakota St. W 75-69 73%     28 - 4 +7.1 +5.0 +2.2
Projected Record 28 - 4 18 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 1.5 26.1 72.3 0.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 1.5 26.1 72.3 0.0