Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#317
Pace71.5#86
Improvement+4.7#37

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#313
First Shot-6.2#331
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#94
Layup/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#337
Freethrows-1.1#276
Improvement+0.4#173

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#255
First Shot-4.2#306
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#54
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#321
Freethrows+0.9#108
Improvement+4.3#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 31 - 81 - 16
Quad 46 - 57 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 44-96 3%     0 - 1 -38.0 -23.4 -12.3
  Nov 16, 2021 295   Denver W 78-64 59%     1 - 1 +3.8 -2.9 +6.5
  Nov 17, 2021 358   IUPUI W 60-57 90%     2 - 1 -18.7 -6.5 -11.6
  Nov 21, 2021 259   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 58-77 50%     2 - 2 -26.9 -18.4 -7.9
  Nov 24, 2021 347   Lamar W 79-73 77%     3 - 2 -9.7 +0.1 -9.8
  Dec 02, 2021 103   @ Grand Canyon L 71-74 9%     3 - 3 +4.2 +4.6 -0.5
  Dec 11, 2021 145   Sam Houston St. W 78-73 19%     4 - 3 +6.3 +3.5 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2021 305   UT Rio Grande Valley L 50-68 61%     4 - 4 -28.9 -32.2 +4.2
  Dec 21, 2021 178   @ Illinois St. L 64-81 18%     4 - 5 -15.4 -8.5 -7.1
  Jan 01, 2022 53   @ UAB L 59-87 4%     4 - 6 0 - 1 -16.2 -8.3 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2022 335   Southern Miss L 73-74 71%     4 - 7 0 - 2 -14.6 -8.6 -6.0
  Jan 08, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech L 63-79 16%     4 - 8 0 - 3 -13.1 -5.1 -8.6
  Jan 13, 2022 181   @ Old Dominion L 51-83 19%     4 - 9 0 - 4 -30.5 -15.5 -18.0
  Jan 15, 2022 189   @ Charlotte L 53-62 20%     4 - 10 0 - 5 -8.0 -19.9 +11.8
  Jan 20, 2022 158   @ UTEP L 64-69 16%     4 - 11 0 - 6 -2.4 +3.0 -6.0
  Jan 23, 2022 158   UTEP L 54-59 28%     4 - 12 0 - 7 -6.8 -14.4 +7.3
  Jan 27, 2022 264   Florida International W 73-66 51%     5 - 12 1 - 7 -1.1 -3.8 +2.7
  Jan 29, 2022 126   Florida Atlantic L 64-73 21%     5 - 13 1 - 8 -8.5 -13.8 +5.9
  Feb 03, 2022 207   @ Rice L 78-91 23%     5 - 14 1 - 9 -13.0 -2.6 -9.8
  Feb 05, 2022 72   @ North Texas L 45-69 5%     5 - 15 1 - 10 -13.6 -14.0 -2.7
  Feb 07, 2022 109   @ Middle Tennessee L 75-84 10%     5 - 16 1 - 11 -2.8 +8.4 -11.5
  Feb 12, 2022 115   Western Kentucky L 65-71 19%     5 - 17 1 - 12 -4.7 -6.7 +1.9
  Feb 17, 2022 335   @ Southern Miss W 98-79 OT 55%     6 - 17 2 - 12 +9.8 +7.3 +0.0
  Feb 19, 2022 102   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-95 8%     6 - 18 2 - 13 -16.7 -3.1 -11.7
  Feb 24, 2022 53   UAB L 56-68 8%     6 - 19 2 - 14 -4.6 -13.0 +8.1
  Mar 03, 2022 72   North Texas L 48-59 10%     6 - 20 2 - 15 -5.0 -12.6 +6.2
  Mar 05, 2022 207   Rice W 82-71 37%     7 - 20 3 - 15 +6.6 +2.3 +4.1
  Mar 08, 2022 335   Southern Miss L 64-67 63%     7 - 21 -14.4 -13.5 -0.9
Projected Record 7 - 21 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%