IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.9	#330
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#132
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.2	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.8	#329

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	4.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	8.3%	42.1%	7.7%
.500 or above in Conference	21.2%	57.1%	20.7%
Conference Champion	0.5%	2.4%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	20.6%	5.1%	20.9%

First Four	0.3%	0.7%	0.3%
First Round	0.5%	3.8%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	58	@ Northwestern	L	61-84	2%
Nov 12, 2021	79	@ Saint Louis	L	62-83	3%
Nov 15, 2021	279	Central Michigan	L	78-80	44%
Nov 22, 2021	180	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	75-88	12%
Nov 24, 2021	244	Albany	L	70-76	30%
Nov 28, 2021	198	Evansville	L	64-70	30%
Dec 01, 2021	314	@ Northern Illinois	L	67-72	32%
Dec 07, 2021	84	@ Missouri	L	62-83	5%
Dec 11, 2021	64	@ Butler	L	57-80	3%
Dec 18, 2021	274	@ Western Illinois	L	75-83	26%
Dec 21, 2021	199	@ Ball St.	L	69-81	17%
Dec 29, 2021	158	@ Morehead St.	L	63-77	12%
Jan 01, 2022	81	Belmont	L	70-85	12%
Jan 06, 2022	125	Murray St.	L	65-76	19%
Jan 08, 2022	301	@ Tennessee Tech	L	72-78	31%
Jan 13, 2022	328	SIU Edwardsville	W	73-71	57%
Jan 15, 2022	285	@ Austin Peay	L	69-76	28%
Jan 20, 2022	125	@ Murray St.	L	62-79	9%
Jan 22, 2022	268	Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-75	43%
Jan 27, 2022	349	@ Tennessee Martin	W	75-73	55%
Jan 29, 2022	289	Tennessee St.	L	75-76	47%
Feb 03, 2022	328	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	70-74	39%
Feb 05, 2022	268	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-78	26%
Feb 10, 2022	301	Tennessee Tech	L	74-75	49%
Feb 12, 2022	349	Tennessee Martin	W	78-70	73%
Feb 17, 2022	81	@ Belmont	L	67-88	5%
Feb 19, 2022	289	@ Tennessee St.	L	72-79	29%
Feb 24, 2022	158	Morehead St.	L	66-74	25%
Feb 26, 2022	285	Austin Peay	L	72-73	46%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0					4.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.5	2.5	1.7	0.6	0.1							6.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.8	2.8	3.7	2.0	0.4	0.0								9.8	5th
6th						0.1	1.5	4.5	4.8	1.8	0.3	0.0									13.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	2.6	5.7	4.7	1.6	0.1	0.0										14.9	7th
8th			0.0	0.9	4.4	6.6	4.3	1.0	0.1	0.0											17.3	8th
9th		0.3	2.5	5.6	6.0	2.9	0.5	0.0													17.9	9th
10th	1.4	3.7	4.5	3.0	1.1	0.1															13.8	10th

Total	1.4	4.0	7.0	9.5	11.8	12.4	12.0	11.0	9.6	7.2	5.4	3.6	2.4	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	86.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	55.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	16.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	5.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		42.6%	42.6%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.1%		24.2%	24.2%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.3%		15.1%	15.1%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-4	0.7%		12.6%	12.6%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
13-5	1.4%		7.2%	7.2%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.3
12-6	2.4%		4.4%	4.4%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.3
11-7	3.6%		2.6%	2.6%		15.8														0.0		0.0	0.1	3.5
10-8	5.4%		1.3%	1.3%		15.9																0.0	0.1	5.4
9-9	7.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																0.0	0.0	7.2
8-10	9.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
7-11	11.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
6-12	12.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
5-13	12.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
4-14	11.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
3-15	9.5%																							9.5
2-16	7.0%																							7.0
1-17	4.0%																							4.0
0-18	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.8%