IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.6	#245
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.5	#251
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#188

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.7%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.2	15.1

.500 or above	28.9%	42.6%	14.8%
.500 or above in Conference	38.8%	50.5%	26.8%
Conference Champion	4.2%	6.5%	1.8%
Last Place in Conference	16.1%	9.5%	22.8%

First Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.5%
First Round	3.5%	5.4%	1.5%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	199	Ball St.	W	71-70	51%
Nov 13, 2021	177	@ South Florida	L	62-69	26%
Nov 20, 2021	329	Hampton	W	75-69	70%
Nov 21, 2021	139	@ Wofford	L	62-71	21%
Nov 26, 2021	60	@ Georgia Tech	L	59-76	8%
Dec 01, 2021	158	@ Morehead St.	L	61-69	25%
Dec 11, 2021	155	@ Mercer	L	65-73	25%
Dec 15, 2021	200	@ Campbell	L	62-68	32%
Dec 22, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	59-61	45%
Dec 30, 2021	277	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-67	45%
Jan 01, 2022	194	@ Arkansas St.	L	66-72	31%
Jan 06, 2022	174	Texas St.	L	61-63	45%
Jan 08, 2022	224	Texas Arlington	W	70-68	56%
Jan 13, 2022	243	@ Troy	L	66-69	40%
Jan 15, 2022	214	@ South Alabama	L	66-71	34%
Jan 20, 2022	190	Coastal Carolina	L	71-72	48%
Jan 22, 2022	182	Appalachian St.	L	64-65	47%
Jan 27, 2022	269	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	65-67	45%
Jan 29, 2022	171	@ Louisiana	L	69-77	28%
Feb 03, 2022	214	South Alabama	W	69-68	53%
Feb 05, 2022	243	Troy	W	69-66	59%
Feb 10, 2022	182	@ Appalachian St.	L	61-68	29%
Feb 12, 2022	190	@ Coastal Carolina	L	69-75	30%
Feb 17, 2022	121	@ Georgia St.	L	67-78	20%
Feb 19, 2022	121	Georgia St.	L	70-75	36%
Feb 24, 2022	171	Louisiana	L	72-74	45%
Feb 26, 2022	269	Louisiana Monroe	W	68-64	63%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1		4.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.3	1.7	1.1	0.4	0.1				5.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.0	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.2	3.0	1.2	0.2	0.0						7.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.3	3.5	1.5	0.2	0.0							7.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.0	1.8	0.2	0.0								8.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.3	2.3	0.2	0.0									9.0	7th
8th						0.2	1.9	4.5	2.7	0.4	0.0										9.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.6	3.0	0.6	0.0											10.3	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.2	4.3	3.1	0.7	0.0												10.8	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	2.9	3.8	2.5	0.6	0.0													11.0	11th
12th	0.7	2.0	3.1	2.9	1.4	0.4	0.0														10.5	12th

Total	0.7	2.2	4.1	6.2	7.8	9.4	10.4	10.4	10.1	9.4	8.2	7.0	5.2	3.8	2.5	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.1			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	92.2%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	74.5%	1.2		0.8	0.4	0.0	0.0
14-4	44.1%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.8%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.2%	4.2		2.4	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		54.2%	49.8%	4.4%	11.0							0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		8.8%
17-1	0.3%		48.6%	43.4%	5.2%	12.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.2		9.2%
16-2	0.7%		38.1%	36.4%	1.6%	13.0											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4		2.5%
15-3	1.6%		29.9%	29.6%	0.3%	13.5												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.1		0.4%
14-4	2.5%		21.4%	21.4%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.9
13-5	3.8%		13.2%	13.2%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	3.3
12-6	5.2%		10.4%	10.4%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	4.7
11-7	7.0%		6.7%	6.7%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	6.5
10-8	8.2%		3.2%	3.2%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.9
9-9	9.4%		2.3%	2.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	9.2
8-10	10.1%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.0
7-11	10.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
6-12	10.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
5-13	9.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
4-14	7.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
3-15	6.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
2-16	4.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	14.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.0	1.0	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%