IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.3	#297
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.1	#101
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#286

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#290

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.3%	9.0%	3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.5	15.3

.500 or above	26.7%	69.4%	25.5%
.500 or above in Conference	36.7%	70.7%	35.8%
Conference Champion	3.2%	12.8%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	18.2%	4.5%	18.6%

First Four	1.1%	0.8%	1.1%
First Round	2.8%	8.5%	2.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 8	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2021	50	@ Rutgers	L	61-81	3%
Nov 13, 2021	293	NJIT	W	74-71	60%
Nov 16, 2021	216	@ Monmouth	L	76-84	26%
Nov 19, 2021	234	@ Merrimack	L	65-71	29%
Nov 23, 2021	315	Columbia	W	74-70	64%
Nov 26, 2021	29	@ Virginia	L	50-73	3%
Nov 28, 2021	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	76-74	58%
Dec 01, 2021	126	@ Yale	L	68-81	14%
Dec 04, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	78-61	92%
Dec 18, 2021	44	@ Syracuse	L	65-86	5%
Dec 21, 2021	244	Albany	W	74-73	51%
Jan 01, 2022	259	@ American	L	68-73	35%
Jan 04, 2022	105	Colgate	L	75-84	23%
Jan 07, 2022	257	@ Army	L	70-75	34%
Jan 10, 2022	321	Holy Cross	W	78-73	65%
Jan 13, 2022	294	@ Bucknell	L	76-79	40%
Jan 16, 2022	276	Loyola Maryland	W	74-72	55%
Jan 19, 2022	184	@ Navy	L	67-76	22%
Jan 22, 2022	197	@ Boston University	L	67-76	24%
Jan 26, 2022	257	Army	W	73-72	53%
Jan 29, 2022	321	@ Holy Cross	L	75-76	47%
Feb 02, 2022	184	Navy	L	70-73	40%
Feb 05, 2022	197	Boston University	L	70-73	42%
Feb 09, 2022	105	@ Colgate	L	72-87	12%
Feb 12, 2022	292	Lafayette	W	77-74	58%
Feb 14, 2022	294	Bucknell	W	79-76	59%
Feb 20, 2022	276	@ Loyola Maryland	L	71-75	37%
Feb 23, 2022	259	American	W	71-70	53%
Feb 26, 2022	292	@ Lafayette	L	74-77	40%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1		3.2	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.7	1.9	1.3	0.4	0.1				6.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.4	2.9	2.5	0.9	0.2	0.0					8.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.2	3.8	2.6	0.7	0.1							9.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.8	4.5	2.4	0.4	0.0								10.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.4	4.9	2.2	0.3	0.0									11.6	6th
7th					0.1	1.0	4.0	5.0	2.1	0.3	0.0										12.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.7	4.5	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0											12.8	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.6	4.6	3.7	1.3	0.1	0.0												13.2	9th
10th	0.7	2.0	3.6	3.5	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0													12.3	10th

Total	0.7	2.1	4.3	6.3	8.4	9.8	10.5	10.8	10.4	9.4	8.0	6.5	5.1	3.4	2.2	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	89.9%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	67.9%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	35.9%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1
13-5	14.6%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.9	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		37.7%	33.3%	4.4%	13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		6.6%
17-1	0.2%		41.2%	39.9%	1.2%	13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		2.1%
16-2	0.6%		36.0%	36.0%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.4
15-3	1.3%		25.3%	25.3%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.0
14-4	2.2%		18.8%	18.8%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.8
13-5	3.4%		13.7%	13.7%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	2.9
12-6	5.1%		8.9%	8.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	4.6
11-7	6.5%		6.9%	6.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	6.1
10-8	8.0%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9																0.0	0.3	7.7
9-9	9.4%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	9.1
8-10	10.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
7-11	10.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.7
6-12	10.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
5-13	9.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
4-14	8.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
3-15	6.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
2-16	4.3%																							4.3
1-17	2.1%																							2.1
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		3.3%	3.3%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.8	96.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%