IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#276
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.0	#214
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#270

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#267

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.7%	15.1%	4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	13.8	15.2

.500 or above	38.7%	86.1%	37.9%
.500 or above in Conference	45.0%	82.7%	44.4%
Conference Champion	4.7%	20.4%	4.4%
Last Place in Conference	13.3%	1.4%	13.5%

First Four	1.3%	0.8%	1.3%
First Round	4.1%	14.5%	3.9%
Second Round	0.2%	1.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 1.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	12 - 7	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	22	@ North Carolina	L	64-87	2%
Nov 12, 2021	352	South Carolina St.	W	81-69	87%
Nov 13, 2021	235	@ College of Charleston	L	65-70	32%
Nov 14, 2021	226	Lipscomb	L	69-72	41%
Nov 17, 2021	336	@ Coppin St.	W	80-77	59%
Nov 28, 2021	260	@ Fairfield	L	63-67	37%
Dec 01, 2021	357	Chicago St.	W	82-63	94%
Dec 04, 2021	242	Mount St. Mary's	W	64-63	55%
Dec 08, 2021	28	@ St. Bonaventure	L	56-78	4%
Dec 12, 2021	329	Hampton	W	78-71	73%
Dec 28, 2021	16	@ Maryland	L	56-79	3%
Jan 01, 2022	257	@ Army	L	69-73	38%
Jan 04, 2022	321	Holy Cross	W	76-70	69%
Jan 07, 2022	197	@ Boston University	L	66-73	27%
Jan 10, 2022	294	Bucknell	W	77-73	63%
Jan 13, 2022	292	Lafayette	W	76-72	62%
Jan 16, 2022	297	@ Lehigh	L	72-74	45%
Jan 19, 2022	197	Boston University	L	69-70	45%
Jan 22, 2022	259	American	W	70-68	57%
Jan 24, 2022	105	@ Colgate	L	70-84	13%
Jan 29, 2022	294	@ Bucknell	L	74-76	44%
Feb 02, 2022	257	Army	W	72-70	57%
Feb 05, 2022	184	Navy	L	68-70	43%
Feb 09, 2022	321	@ Holy Cross	W	73-72	51%
Feb 12, 2022	105	Colgate	L	73-81	27%
Feb 16, 2022	292	@ Lafayette	L	73-75	43%
Feb 20, 2022	297	Lehigh	W	75-71	63%
Feb 23, 2022	184	@ Navy	L	65-73	26%
Feb 26, 2022	259	@ American	L	67-71	38%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.1		4.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.1	2.6	1.7	0.7	0.1				8.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.5	3.2	1.3	0.3	0.0					10.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.4	4.4	3.1	0.8	0.1	0.0						11.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	3.1	5.0	2.8	0.6	0.0								12.0	5th
6th						0.0	0.7	3.2	4.9	2.4	0.4	0.0									11.7	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.5	4.7	2.1	0.2	0.0										11.5	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.4	4.0	4.2	1.7	0.2	0.0											11.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.5	2.0	3.7	3.1	1.0	0.1	0.0												10.5	9th
10th	0.4	1.4	2.4	2.4	1.6	0.5	0.0	0.0													8.7	10th

Total	0.4	1.5	2.9	4.6	6.8	8.5	9.4	10.3	10.7	10.2	9.2	8.0	6.3	4.7	3.1	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	88.7%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	64.3%	1.3		0.8	0.4	0.0
14-4	36.2%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.3%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.8	1.5	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		45.8%	45.3%	0.5%	13.2						0.0					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.9%
17-1	0.4%		48.0%	46.7%	1.4%	13.3							0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2		2.6%
16-2	1.0%		31.6%	31.4%	0.2%	13.9										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7		0.3%
15-3	2.0%		26.8%	26.8%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	1.5
14-4	3.1%		21.0%	21.0%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	2.5
13-5	4.7%		15.4%	15.4%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	4.0
12-6	6.3%		10.3%	10.3%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	5.7
11-7	8.0%		6.4%	6.4%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	7.5
10-8	9.2%		4.7%	4.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	8.8
9-9	10.2%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.9
8-10	10.7%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	10.5
7-11	10.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
6-12	9.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
5-13	8.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
4-14	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
3-15	4.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.5%																							1.5
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		4.7%	4.7%	0.0%	15.2						0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.3	95.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%