Preseason Rankings
Brown
Ivy League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#237
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#171
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#309
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 21.0% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.2 14.4
.500 or above 32.6% 73.2% 31.4%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 77.5% 48.1%
Conference Champion 8.3% 24.6% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.7% 3.9% 15.0%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round6.3% 20.9% 5.9%
Second Round0.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 48 - 411 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 22   @ North Carolina L 64-84 3%    
  Nov 14, 2021 346   Central Connecticut St. W 79-66 88%    
  Nov 19, 2021 48   Creighton L 63-77 11%    
  Nov 26, 2021 206   Bryant W 78-77 54%    
  Nov 28, 2021 261   @ Quinnipiac L 71-73 45%    
  Dec 01, 2021 258   @ Umass Lowell L 70-72 45%    
  Dec 05, 2021 288   Sacred Heart W 72-66 69%    
  Dec 07, 2021 234   @ Merrimack L 63-66 40%    
  Dec 10, 2021 116   Vermont L 65-70 35%    
  Dec 22, 2021 101   @ Rhode Island L 64-76 16%    
  Dec 30, 2021 16   @ Maryland L 55-76 5%    
  Jan 02, 2022 187   @ Penn L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 07, 2022 160   @ Harvard L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 270   @ Dartmouth L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 15, 2022 168   @ Princeton L 66-73 29%    
  Jan 17, 2022 126   Yale L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 22, 2022 315   @ Columbia W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 290   Cornell W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 04, 2022 160   Harvard L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 270   Dartmouth W 70-65 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 290   @ Cornell W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 18, 2022 168   Princeton L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 19, 2022 187   Penn W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 26, 2022 315   Columbia W 72-64 72%    
  Mar 05, 2022 126   @ Yale L 65-75 22%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.3 8.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.4 1.9 0.3 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.5 4.4 1.1 0.1 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 6.7 4.2 0.7 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.9 7.3 3.8 0.4 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.3 6.3 2.7 0.2 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.6 1.6 0.1 12.7 7th
8th 0.8 2.5 3.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 9.2 8th
Total 0.8 2.6 4.8 7.7 9.9 12.1 13.2 12.8 11.2 9.1 7.2 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
13-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.1
12-2 87.3% 2.3    1.8 0.5 0.0
11-3 57.5% 2.7    1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0
10-4 22.7% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.0
9-5 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.3% 100.0% 100.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-1 1.1% 97.8% 97.4% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 15.3%
12-2 2.6% 80.7% 80.2% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 2.5%
11-3 4.7% 43.7% 43.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.4 2.6 0.1%
10-4 7.2% 13.0% 13.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 6.3
9-5 9.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.0
8-6 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
7-7 12.8% 12.8
6-8 13.2% 13.2
5-9 12.1% 12.1
4-10 9.9% 9.9
3-11 7.7% 7.7
2-12 4.8% 4.8
1-13 2.6% 2.6
0-14 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 6.6% 6.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.1 1.1 93.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%