IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.4	#335
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.7	#110
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.0	#337

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	7.5%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	11.8%	49.5%	11.1%
.500 or above in Conference	24.6%	59.0%	24.0%
Conference Champion	1.2%	5.4%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	22.9%	4.8%	23.2%

First Four	0.8%	2.9%	0.8%
First Round	1.0%	5.5%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 9	8 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	66	@ Mississippi	L	56-79	2%
Nov 17, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	62-81	4%
Nov 22, 2021	60	@ Georgia Tech	L	60-83	2%
Nov 26, 2021	55	@ Clemson	L	55-79	2%
Nov 28, 2021	311	@ Kennesaw St.	L	69-75	31%
Dec 02, 2021	302	Jacksonville	L	72-73	47%
Dec 05, 2021	185	@ Tarleton St.	L	62-75	13%
Dec 16, 2021	289	Tennessee St.	L	75-76	46%
Dec 20, 2021	278	Manhattan	L	66-71	34%
Dec 21, 2021	352	South Carolina St.	W	81-74	72%
Jan 05, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	L	69-74	34%
Jan 08, 2022	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	71-80	22%
Jan 12, 2022	200	@ Campbell	L	62-75	16%
Jan 15, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	74-84	21%
Jan 19, 2022	299	High Point	L	70-71	47%
Jan 22, 2022	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	73-74	46%
Jan 26, 2022	319	Presbyterian	W	70-69	52%
Jan 29, 2022	329	Hampton	W	77-75	57%
Feb 02, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	63-72	24%
Feb 05, 2022	249	Longwood	L	66-69	39%
Feb 09, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	L	72-80	27%
Feb 12, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	66-77	20%
Feb 16, 2022	252	UNC Asheville	L	74-77	39%
Feb 19, 2022	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	76-71	64%
Feb 23, 2022	319	@ Presbyterian	L	67-72	33%
Feb 26, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	71-87	10%
Projected Record						8 - 18	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.4	1.3	1.3	0.4	0.0					3.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.8	1.8	0.6	0.0						4.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	2.8	0.8	0.1							6.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	3.6	1.2	0.1								7.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	2.1	4.5	2.0	0.1	0.0								8.9	7th
8th					0.1	2.0	5.2	3.0	0.3	0.0									10.7	8th
9th				0.2	2.1	5.6	3.7	0.6	0.0										12.2	9th
10th			0.3	2.4	6.0	4.2	0.8	0.0											13.8	10th
11th		0.6	3.3	5.8	4.0	0.9	0.1												14.7	11th
12th	2.0	4.6	4.8	2.7	0.6	0.1	0.0												14.8	12th

Total	2.0	5.2	8.4	11.2	12.9	13.0	12.1	10.7	8.4	6.4	4.2	2.9	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	97.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	77.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
13-3	52.7%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-4	21.0%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	3.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		42.5%	42.5%		13.5											0.0				0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.1%		33.7%	33.7%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-2	0.3%		23.2%	23.2%		15.0													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-3	0.8%		17.6%	17.6%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7
12-4	1.5%		12.2%	12.2%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.3
11-5	2.9%		8.4%	8.4%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.2	2.6
10-6	4.2%		5.2%	5.2%		15.9																0.0	0.2	4.0
9-7	6.4%		3.5%	3.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	6.2
8-8	8.4%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	8.3
7-9	10.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
6-10	12.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
5-11	13.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
4-12	12.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
3-13	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
2-14	8.4%																							8.4
1-15	5.2%																							5.2
0-16	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	15.7											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.1	98.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%